Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. (EPRT) Fair Value 2026

EPRT · REIT - Retail ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. (EPRT) trades at $30.36, versus a $18.28 median fair value across its 8 active models — 39.8% below the current price. QOC: 8.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 8/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
EPRT
Price
$30.36
Quality Score
8.6/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.6/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. (EPRT) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. (EPRT) appears overvalued as of : the median of 8 independent fair value estimates is $18.28, 39.8% below the current price of $30.36. Estimates range from $9.20 to $33.83. EPRT scores 8.6/10 on fundamental quality and 18/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. EPRT’s -39.8% gap is wider than that market norm, and the REIT - Retail sector median is -45.6%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give EPRT?

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($30.36)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $16.05 -47.1%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $11.51 -62.1%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $13.03 -57.1%
Asset-Based · High Conviction
 $9.20 -69.7%
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What Is EPRT's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 8 independent models · $9.20 to $33.83

CirclFi's 8 active models place Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. (EPRT) between $9.20 and $33.83 per share, a spread of 135% of the median. The median of that range — $18.28 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for EPRT, against a current price of $30.36.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · FTNN
$9.20median $18.28$33.83
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$9.20
Most bullish modelFTNN Topology$33.83
Model agreement1 bullish · 7 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for EPRT. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on EPRT, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. (EPRT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $18.28, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $30.36. With 7 out of 8 models flagging downside (-39.8% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, FTNN, places fair value at $33.83 (+11.4%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $9.20 (-69.7%). This +81.1% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About EPRT?

8 of 13 models are currently active for EPRT. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for EPRT is $18.28 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does EPRT Rank in REIT - Retail?

Among 26 REIT - Retail stocks, EPRT ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.6 places EPRT in the top tier.

Within the REIT - Retail space, Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. competes in an environment where store traffic trends often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is EPRT a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns EPRT a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. is rated at 8.6/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +81.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every EPRT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across EPRT's 8 active models, average confidence is 40%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar REIT - Retail Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related REIT - Retail stocks with 13-model coverage

REGRegency Centers CorporationQOC 8.6SPGSimon Property Group, Inc.QOC 8.3FRTFederal Realty Investment TrustQOC 8.9PECOPhillips Edison & Company, Inc.QOC 8.1SKTTanger Inc.QOC 3.5ADCAgree Realty CorporationQOC 8.0FCPTFour Corners Property Trust, Inc.QOC 7.8IVTInvenTrust Properties Corp.QOC 7.5ALXAlexander's, Inc.QOC 7.1

Read investment analysis: REG · SPG · FRT · PECO · SKT · ADC · FCPT · IVT · ALX

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to EPRT?

7 companies across all industries closest to EPRT’s Quality of Company score of 8.6/10.

WBSWebster Financial CorpQOC 8.6NTWKNetSol Technologies, Inc.QOC 8.6HPKHighPeak Energy, Inc.QOC 8.6SPOKSpok Holdings, Inc.QOC 8.6STGSunlands Technology GroupQOC 8.6GEVGE Vernova Inc.QOC 8.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: WBS · NTWK · HPK · SPOK · STG · GEV · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. (EPRT)'s intrinsic value at $18.28 — the median of 8 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $9.20 to $33.83. The Quality of Company score is 8.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is EPRT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $30.36, 1 of 8 active models suggest EPRT may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 8 fair value estimates is $18.28, 39.8% below the current price of $30.36 — a consensus view that EPRT is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc.'s business model in REIT - Retail.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.6 mean for EPRT?

Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc.'s QOC of 8.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on EPRT?

CirclFi analyzes EPRT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on EPRT?

Of the 8 models currently active on EPRT, FTNN Topology is the most bullish at $33.83 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $9.20. CirclFi's published fair value for EPRT is the median of that range, $18.28, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 135% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is EPRT a value trap in 2026?

Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. (EPRT) has a median fair value of $18.28 — 39.8% below the current price of $30.36 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/EPRT/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this EPRT valuation

Market data for EPRT as of ; valuations recomputed .

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