Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. (PINE) Fair Value 2026

PINE · REIT - Retail ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (51/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. (PINE) trades at $19.53, versus a $15.36 median fair value across its 7 active models — 21.3% below the current price. QOC: 6.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 51/100 (WARN). 7/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
PINE
Price
$19.53
Quality Score
6.8/10
Value Trap Risk
51/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: 7 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Value Trap score of 51 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. (PINE) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. (PINE) appears overvalued as of : the median of 7 independent fair value estimates is $15.36, 21.3% below the current price of $19.53. Estimates range from $6.43 to $25.16. PINE scores 6.8/10 on fundamental quality and 51/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. PINE’s -21.3% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the REIT - Retail sector median is -43.5%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give PINE?

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($19.53)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $15.36 -21.3%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $16.31 -16.5%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $6.43 -67.1%
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What Is PINE's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 7 independent models · $6.43 to $25.16

CirclFi's 7 active models place Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. (PINE) between $6.43 and $25.16 per share, a spread of 122% of the median. The median of that range — $15.36 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for PINE, against a current price of $19.53.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · PWERM
$6.43median $15.36$25.16
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$6.43
Most bullish modelPWERM$25.16
Model agreement2 bullish · 5 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for PINE. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on PINE, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. (PINE) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $15.36. Trading at $19.53, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -21.3%), as 5 of 7 models suggest limited further upside. The most optimistic model, PWERM, places fair value at $25.16 (+28.8%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $6.43 (-67.1%). This +95.9% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About PINE?

7 of 13 models are currently active for PINE. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for PINE is $15.36 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does PINE Rank in REIT - Retail?

Among 26 REIT - Retail stocks, PINE ranks #23 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.8 indicates above-average quality.

Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc.'s positioning within the REIT - Retail segment means that customer lifetime value (CLV) plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including omnichannel integration — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is PINE a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns PINE a score of 51/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. earns a quality score of 6.8/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency. Our Value Trap detector shows moderate caution signals worth monitoring.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +95.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every PINE valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across PINE's 7 active models, average confidence is 35%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar REIT - Retail Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related REIT - Retail stocks with 13-model coverage

ALXAlexander's, Inc.QOC 7.1WHLRWheeler Real Estate Investment Trust, Inc.QOC 6.3UEUrban Edge PropertiesQOC 7.2MACThe Macerich CompanyQOC 5.9CBLCBL & Associates Properties, Inc.QOC 7.2SKTTanger Inc.QOC 3.5EPRTEssential Properties Realty Trust, Inc.QOC 8.6NTSTNETSTREIT Corp.QOC 7.8IVTInvenTrust Properties Corp.QOC 7.5FRTFederal Realty Investment TrustQOC 8.9REGRegency Centers CorporationQOC 8.6

Read investment analysis: ALX · WHLR · UE · MAC · CBL · SKT · EPRT · NTST · IVT · FRT · REG

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to PINE?

7 companies across all industries closest to PINE’s Quality of Company score of 6.8/10.

CSBRChampions Oncology, Inc.QOC 6.8MBMasterBeef GroupQOC 6.8GRABGrab Holdings LimitedQOC 6.8OCULOcular Therapeutix, Inc.QOC 6.8BAFNBayFirst Financial Corp.QOC 6.8EMAEmera IncorporatedQOC 6.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CSBR · MB · GRAB · OCUL · BAFN · EMA · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. (PINE)'s intrinsic value at $15.36 — the median of 7 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $6.43 to $25.16. The Quality of Company score is 6.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is PINE overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $19.53, 2 of 7 active models suggest PINE may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 7 fair value estimates is $15.36, 21.3% below the current price of $19.53 — a consensus view that PINE is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc.'s business model in REIT - Retail.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.8 mean for PINE?

Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc.'s QOC of 6.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on PINE?

CirclFi analyzes PINE with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on PINE?

Of the 7 models currently active on PINE, PWERM is the most bullish at $25.16 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $6.43. CirclFi's published fair value for PINE is the median of that range, $15.36, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 122% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is PINE a value trap in 2026?

Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 51/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. (PINE) has a median fair value of $15.36 — 21.3% below the current price of $19.53 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/PINE/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this PINE valuation
  • Financial statements: Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001786117) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for PINE as of ; valuations recomputed .

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