Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT) Fair Value 2026

FRT · REIT - Retail ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT) trades at $116.75, versus a $47.60 median fair value across its 7 active models — 59.2% below the current price. QOC: 8.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 7/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
FRT
Price
$116.75
Quality Score
8.9/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.9/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT) appears overvalued as of : the median of 7 independent fair value estimates is $47.60, 59.2% below the current price of $116.75. Estimates range from $41.52 to $168.64. FRT scores 8.9/10 on fundamental quality and 12/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. FRT’s -59.2% gap is wider than that market norm, and the REIT - Retail sector median is -43.5%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Federal Realty Investment Trust Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give FRT?

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($116.75)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $41.52 -64.4%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $53.55 -54.1%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $47.41 -59.4%
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What Is FRT's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 7 independent models · $41.52 to $168.64

CirclFi's 7 active models place Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT) between $41.52 and $168.64 per share, a spread of 267% of the median. The median of that range — $47.60 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for FRT, against a current price of $116.75.

Low · EPVHigh · Sentiment SOTP
$41.52median $47.60$168.64
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$41.52
Most bullish modelSentiment SOTP$168.64
Model agreement1 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for FRT. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on FRT, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Federal Realty Investment Trust's intrinsic value is estimated at $47.60. Trading at its current price of $116.75, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 6 of 7 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -59.2%. Model dispersion is worth noting: Sentiment SOTP targets $168.64 (+44.4%), versus EPV at $41.52 (-64.4%). This +108.9% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About FRT?

7 of 13 models are currently active for FRT. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for FRT is $47.60 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does FRT Rank in REIT - Retail?

Among 26 REIT - Retail stocks, FRT ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.9 places FRT in the top tier.

The REIT - Retail sector introduces analytical considerations specific to consumer-facing company businesses. For Federal Realty Investment Trust, metrics like brand equity index provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is FRT a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns FRT a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for Federal Realty Investment Trust. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Federal Realty Investment Trust earns a quality score of 8.9/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +108.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every FRT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across FRT's 7 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Federal Realty Investment Trust Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar REIT - Retail Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related REIT - Retail stocks with 13-model coverage

SKTTanger Inc.QOC 3.5REGRegency Centers CorporationQOC 8.6MACThe Macerich CompanyQOC 5.9EPRTEssential Properties Realty Trust, Inc.QOC 8.6WHLRWheeler Real Estate Investment Trust, Inc.QOC 6.3SPGSimon Property Group, Inc.QOC 8.3ORealty Income CorporationQOC 7.9AKRAcadia Realty TrustQOC 7.6CBLCBL & Associates Properties, Inc.QOC 7.2

Read investment analysis: SKT · REG · MAC · EPRT · WHLR · SPG · O · AKR · CBL

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to FRT?

7 companies across all industries closest to FRT’s Quality of Company score of 8.9/10.

SPXCSPX Technologies, Inc.QOC 8.9CPRTCopart, Inc.QOC 8.9TJXThe TJX Companies, Inc.QOC 8.9CMECME Group Inc.QOC 8.9WABWestinghouse Air Brake Technologies CorporationQOC 8.9SPSCSPS Commerce, Inc.QOC 8.9NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: SPXC · CPRT · TJX · CME · WAB · SPSC · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Federal Realty Investment Trust’s Valuation?

What is Federal Realty Investment Trust's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT)'s intrinsic value at $47.60 — the median of 7 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $41.52 to $168.64. The Quality of Company score is 8.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is FRT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $116.75, 1 of 7 active models suggest FRT may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 7 fair value estimates is $47.60, 59.2% below the current price of $116.75 — a consensus view that FRT is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Federal Realty Investment Trust's business model in REIT - Retail.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.9 mean for FRT?

Federal Realty Investment Trust's QOC of 8.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on FRT?

CirclFi analyzes FRT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on FRT?

Of the 7 models currently active on FRT, Sentiment SOTP is the most bullish at $168.64 per share, and Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bearish at $41.52. CirclFi's published fair value for FRT is the median of that range, $47.60, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 267% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is FRT a value trap in 2026?

Federal Realty Investment Trust's Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT) has a median fair value of $47.60 — 59.2% below the current price of $116.75 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/FRT/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this FRT valuation
  • Financial statements: Federal Realty Investment Trust 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000034903) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for FRT as of ; valuations recomputed .

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