Realty Income Corporation (O) Fair Value 2026

O · Real Estate Investment Trusts ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

3.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Realty Income Corporation (O) trades at $63.26, approximately 575% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $9.37. QOC: 3.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
O
Price
$63.26
Quality Score
3.2/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: 13 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 3.2/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is Realty Income Corporation (O) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 13-model valuation engine, Realty Income Corporation (O) appears overvalued as of : the median of 13 independent fair value estimates is $22.31, 64.7% below the current price of $63.26. Estimates range from $3.28 to $66.37. O scores 3.2/10 on fundamental quality and 18/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Realty Income Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($63.26)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$9.37 -85.2%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
$22.31 -64.7%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$27.34 -56.8%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$50.12 -20.8%

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What Is Realty Income Corporation (O) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Realty Income Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $27.03, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $63.26. With 12 out of 13 models flagging downside (-57.3% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Notably, PWERM sees the most upside at +4.9% (fair value: $66.37), while Markov DDM is the most conservative at -94.8% ($3.28). The spread between these extremes — +99.7% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About O?

13 of 13 models are currently active for O. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 12 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates O's intrinsic value at $9.37, implying -85.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does O Rank in Real Estate Investment Trusts?

Among 182 Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks, O ranks #180 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 3.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 3.2 signals below-average fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Real Estate Investment Trusts Stocks →

Within the Real Estate Investment Trusts space, Realty Income Corporation competes in an environment where same-property NOI growth often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is O a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns O a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for Realty Income Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Realty Income Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 3.2/10. This concerning score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +99.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every O valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across O's 13 active models, average confidence is 35%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Realty Income Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Real Estate Investment Trusts Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: CUBE · EGP · SELF · EPRT · HHH

See all Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Realty Income Corporation

What is Realty Income Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Realty Income Corporation (O) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $9.37. The Quality of Company score is 3.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is O overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $63.26, 1 of 13 active models suggest O may be undervalued, while 12 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 13 fair value estimates is $22.31, 64.7% below the current price of $63.26 — a consensus view that O is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Realty Income Corporation's business model in Real Estate Investment Trusts.

What does a Quality of Company score of 3.2 mean for O?

Realty Income Corporation's QOC of 3.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on O?

CirclFi analyzes O with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is O a value trap in 2026?

Realty Income Corporation's Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 13-model valuation engine, Realty Income Corporation (O) has a median fair value of $22.31 — 64.7% below the current price of $63.26 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/O/ · Methodology

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