What Is CME Group Inc. (CME) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on CME Group Inc. at its current price of $245.10. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $260.26 (+6.2% average return), with 8 models flagging overvaluation risk. The most optimistic model, Markov DDM, places fair value at $1,157.39 (+372.2%), while EPV — the most conservative — estimates $63.09 (-74.3%). This +446.5% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about CME Group Inc.'s intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About CME?
12 of 13 models are currently active for CME. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates CME's intrinsic value at $178.69, implying -27.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does CME Rank in Security & Commodity Brokers, Dealers, Exchanges & Services?
Among 14 Security & Commodity Brokers, Dealers, Exchanges & Services stocks, CME ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.9 places CME in the top tier.
CME Group Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is CME a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for CME. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for CME Group Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, CME Group Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 8.9/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +446.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every CME valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across CME's 12 active models, average confidence is 47%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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