Copart, Inc. (CPRT) Fair Value 2026

CPRT · Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (8/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Copart, Inc. (CPRT) trades at $27.45, approximately 12% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $24.50. QOC: 9.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 8/100 (SAFE). 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CPRT
Price
$27.45
Quality Score
9.6/10
Value Trap Risk
8/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +20.0% upside with 56% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($27.45)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$24.50 -10.7%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$14.83 -46.0%
CUCE Ensemble
Medium Conviction
$21.52 -21.6%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$32.94 +20.0%

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What Is Copart, Inc. (CPRT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Copart, Inc. at its current price of $27.45. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $23.75 (-13.5% average return), with 8 models flagging overvaluation risk. Notably, Markov DDM sees the most upside at +45.6% (fair value: $39.95), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -67.7% ($8.87). The spread between these extremes — +113.3% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV, Markov DDM lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About CPRT?

13 of 13 models are currently active for CPRT. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates CPRT's intrinsic value at $24.50, implying -10.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CPRT Rank in Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations?

Among 19 Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations stocks, CPRT ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.6 places CPRT in the top tier.

As a retail business, Copart, Inc. operates in a sector where inventory turnover is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating CPRT should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is CPRT a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CPRT a score of 8/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for Copart, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Copart, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 9.6/10. This exceptional score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +113.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CPRT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CPRT's 13 active models, average confidence is 50%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Copart, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations stocks with 13-model coverage

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Frequently Asked Questions About Copart, Inc.

What is Copart, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Copart, Inc. (CPRT) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $24.50. The Quality of Company score is 9.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CPRT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $27.45, 5 of 13 active models suggest CPRT may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Copart, Inc.'s business model in Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.6 mean for CPRT?

Copart, Inc.'s QOC of 9.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CPRT?

CirclFi analyzes CPRT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is CPRT a value trap in 2026?

Copart, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 8/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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