Cintas Corporation (CTAS) Fair Value 2026

CTAS · Specialty Business Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-10-07, Cintas Corporation (CTAS) trades at $195.96, versus a $88.15 median fair value across its 10 active models — 55.0% below the current price. QOC: 9.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $91.75.

Key Facts

Ticker
CTAS
Price
$195.96
Quality Score
9.2/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 9.2/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Cintas Corporation (CTAS) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Cintas Corporation (CTAS) appears overvalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $88.15, 55.0% below the current price of $195.96. Estimates range from $30.59 to $200.08. CTAS scores 9.2/10 on fundamental quality and 12/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -20.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,777 rated companies as of 2026-10-07. CTAS’s -55.0% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Specialty Business Services sector median is +1.2%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Cintas Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give CTAS?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($195.96)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $91.75 -53.2%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $45.58 -76.7%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $82.67 -57.8%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $138.54 -29.3%
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What Is CTAS's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $30.59 to $200.08

CirclFi's 10 active models place Cintas Corporation (CTAS) between $30.59 and $200.08 per share, a spread of 192% of the median. The median of that range — $88.15 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for CTAS, against a current price of $195.96.

Low · EROICHigh · Regime Cross
$30.59median $88.15$200.08
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEROIC Spread$30.59
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$200.08
Model agreement0 bullish · 9 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for CTAS. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on CTAS, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Cintas Corporation (CTAS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Cintas Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $88.15, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $195.96. With 9 out of 10 models flagging downside (-55.0% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $200.08 (+2.1%), versus EROIC at $30.59 (-84.4%). This +86.5% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About CTAS?

10 of 13 models are currently active for CTAS. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for CTAS is $88.15 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $91.75 on its own, implying -53.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CTAS Rank in Specialty Business Services?

Among 54 Specialty Business Services stocks, CTAS ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.2 places CTAS in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Specialty Business Services Stocks →

Cintas Corporation operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is CTAS a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CTAS a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Cintas Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Cintas Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 9.2/10. This exceptional score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +86.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CTAS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CTAS's 10 active models, average confidence is 57%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Cintas Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Specialty Business Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Specialty Business Services stocks with 13-model coverage

SMXSMX (Security Matters) Public Limited CompanyQOC 1.7RELXRELX PLCQOC 9.2LICNLichen International LimitedQOC 1.9AZZAZZ Inc.QOC 9.0TRIThomson Reuters CorporationQOC 2.7CPRTCopart, Inc.QOC 8.8UNFUniFirst CorporationQOC 8.0BVBrightView Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.9FOFAFamily Office of America Inc.QOC 5.2

Read investment analysis: SMX · RELX · LICN · AZZ · TRI · CPRT · UNF · BV · FOFA

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to CTAS?

7 companies across all industries closest to CTAS’s Quality of Company score of 9.2/10.

AUPHAurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc.QOC 9.2IBPInstalled Building Products, Inc.QOC 9.2HRMYHarmony Biosciences Holdings, Inc.QOC 9.2TMDXTransMedics Group, Inc.QOC 9.2DXCMDexCom, Inc.QOC 9.2CSLCarlisle Companies IncorporatedQOC 9.2NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: AUPH · IBP · HRMY · TMDX · DXCM · CSL · NVDA

Where Does CTAS Sit in CirclFi's Specialty Business Services Rankings?

CTAS is ranked against every other Specialty Business Services stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Specialty Business Services stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Cintas Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Cintas Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Cintas Corporation (CTAS)'s intrinsic value at $88.15 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-10-07, ranging from $30.59 to $200.08. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $91.75 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 9.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CTAS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $195.96, 1 of 10 active models suggest CTAS may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $88.15, 55.0% below the current price of $195.96 — a consensus view that CTAS is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Cintas Corporation's business model in Specialty Business Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.2 mean for CTAS?

Cintas Corporation's QOC of 9.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CTAS?

CirclFi analyzes CTAS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on CTAS?

Of the 10 models currently active on CTAS, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $200.08 per share, and EROIC Spread is the most bearish at $30.59. CirclFi's published fair value for CTAS is the median of that range, $88.15, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 192% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is CTAS a value trap in 2026?

Cintas Corporation's Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Cintas Corporation (CTAS) has a median fair value of $88.15 — 55.0% below the current price of $195.96 — as of 2026-10-07.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CTAS/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this CTAS valuation
  • Financial statements: Cintas Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000723254) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for CTAS as of ; valuations recomputed .

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