Oxford Industries, Inc. (OXM) Fair Value 2026

OXM · Apparel Manufacturing ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (8/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Oxford Industries, Inc. (OXM) trades at $38.20, versus a $39.87 median fair value across its 8 active models — 4.4% above the current price. QOC: 6.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 8/100 (SAFE). 8/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
OXM
Price
$38.20
Quality Score
6.5/10
Value Trap Risk
8/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: Dynamic NAV suggests +3.6% upside with 55% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Oxford Industries, Inc. (OXM) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Oxford Industries, Inc. (OXM) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 8 independent fair value estimates is $39.87, within 4.4% of the current price of $38.20. Estimates range from $5.19 to $94.59. OXM scores 6.5/10 on fundamental quality and 8/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. OXM’s +4.4% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Apparel Manufacturing sector median is -12.2%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Oxford Industries, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give OXM?

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($38.20)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $13.62 -64.3%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $37.25 -2.5%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $5.19 -86.4%
Asset-Based · High Conviction
 $39.59 +3.6%
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What Is OXM's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 8 independent models · $5.19 to $94.59

CirclFi's 8 active models place Oxford Industries, Inc. (OXM) between $5.19 and $94.59 per share, a spread of 224% of the median. The median of that range — $39.87 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for OXM, against a current price of $38.20.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · FTNN
$5.19median $39.87$94.59
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$5.19
Most bullish modelFTNN Topology$94.59
Model agreement4 bullish · 2 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for OXM. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on OXM, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Oxford Industries, Inc. (OXM) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Oxford Industries, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $39.87, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $38.20. With a median implied return of +4.4% across a split 4–2 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +234.0% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, FTNN sees the most upside at +147.6% (fair value: $94.59), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -86.4% ($5.19). The spread between these extremes — +234.0% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About OXM?

8 of 13 models are currently active for OXM. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for OXM is $39.87 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does OXM Rank in Apparel Manufacturing?

Among 25 Apparel Manufacturing stocks, OXM ranks #16 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.5 indicates above-average quality.

The Apparel Manufacturing sector introduces analytical considerations specific to retail business businesses. For Oxford Industries, Inc., metrics like store traffic trends provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is OXM a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns OXM a score of 8/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for Oxford Industries, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Oxford Industries, Inc. earns a quality score of 6.5/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +234.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every OXM valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across OXM's 8 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Oxford Industries, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Apparel Manufacturing Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Apparel Manufacturing stocks with 13-model coverage

LAKELakeland Industries, Inc.QOC 6.6VNCEVince Holding Corp.QOC 6.5VFCV.F. CorporationQOC 7.0UAAUnder Armour, Inc.QOC 5.8NCINeo-Concept International Group Holdings LimitedQOC 7.3UAUnder Armour, Inc.QOC 5.8XELBXcel Brands, Inc.QOC 4.2COLMColumbia Sportswear CompanyQOC 8.6GIIIG-III Apparel Group, Ltd.QOC 7.7RLRalph Lauren CorporationQOC 9.3KTBKontoor Brands, Inc.QOC 9.0

Read investment analysis: LAKE · VNCE · VFC · UAA · NCI · UA · XELB · COLM · GIII · RL · KTB

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to OXM?

7 companies across all industries closest to OXM’s Quality of Company score of 6.5/10.

PFSIPennyMac Financial Services, Inc.QOC 6.5TCITranscontinental Realty Investors, Inc.QOC 6.5POWWOutdoor Holding CompanyQOC 6.5GOGrocery Outlet Holding Corp.QOC 6.5FBLAFB Bancorp, Inc.QOC 6.5DYAIDyadic International, Inc.QOC 6.5NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: PFSI · TCI · POWW · GO · FBLA · DYAI · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Oxford Industries, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Oxford Industries, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Oxford Industries, Inc. (OXM)'s intrinsic value at $39.87 — the median of 8 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $5.19 to $94.59. The Quality of Company score is 6.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is OXM overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $38.20, 5 of 8 active models suggest OXM may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 8 fair value estimates is $39.87, within 4.4% of the current price of $38.20 — a consensus view that OXM is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Oxford Industries, Inc.'s business model in Apparel Manufacturing.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.5 mean for OXM?

Oxford Industries, Inc.'s QOC of 6.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on OXM?

CirclFi analyzes OXM with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on OXM?

Of the 8 models currently active on OXM, FTNN Topology is the most bullish at $94.59 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $5.19. CirclFi's published fair value for OXM is the median of that range, $39.87, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 224% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is OXM a value trap in 2026?

Oxford Industries, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 8/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Oxford Industries, Inc. (OXM) has a median fair value of $39.87 — within 4.4% of the current price of $38.20 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/OXM/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this OXM valuation
  • Financial statements: Oxford Industries, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000075288) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for OXM as of ; valuations recomputed .

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