What Is Under Armour, Inc. (UAA) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Under Armour, Inc. at its current price of $6.86. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $6.37 (-7.2% average return), with 8 models flagging overvaluation risk. Model dispersion is worth noting: Sentiment SOTP targets $18.78 (+173.8%), versus Markov DDM at $0.58 (-91.6%). This +265.4% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.
What Do the Models Say About UAA?
13 of 13 models are currently active for UAA. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates UAA's intrinsic value at $3.31, implying -51.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does UAA Rank in Apparel & Other Finishd Prods of Fabrics & Similar Matl?
Among 18 Apparel & Other Finishd Prods of Fabrics & Similar Matl stocks, UAA ranks #13 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.2 reflects mixed fundamentals.
As a consumer-facing company, Under Armour, Inc. operates in a sector where same-store sales growth (comps) is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating UAA should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is UAA a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns UAA a score of 24/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Under Armour, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Under Armour, Inc. is rated at 5.2/10. This moderate-tier score shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +265.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every UAA valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across UAA's 13 active models, average confidence is 31%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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