FIGS, Inc. (FIGS) Fair Value 2026

FIGS · Apparel & Other Finishd Prods of Fabrics & Similar Matl ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

(—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, FIGS, Inc. (FIGS) trades at $9.98, approximately 40% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $7.15. QOC: 9.4/10. 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
FIGS
Price
$9.98
Quality Score
9.4/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 9.4/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($9.98)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$7.15 -28.4%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$0.91 -90.9%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$3.98 -60.1%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$3.46 -65.3%

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What Is FIGS, Inc. (FIGS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, FIGS, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $4.26, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $9.98. With 12 out of 13 models flagging downside (-57.3% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, PWERM, places fair value at $12.19 (+22.1%), while EPV — the most conservative — estimates $0.91 (-90.9%). This +113.0% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about FIGS, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About FIGS?

13 of 13 models are currently active for FIGS. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 12 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates FIGS's intrinsic value at $7.15, implying -28.4% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does FIGS Rank in Apparel & Other Finishd Prods of Fabrics & Similar Matl?

Among 19 Apparel & Other Finishd Prods of Fabrics & Similar Matl stocks, FIGS ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.4 places FIGS in the top tier.

As a consumer sector, FIGS, Inc. operates in a sector where store traffic trends is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating FIGS should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is FIGS a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for FIGS. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for FIGS, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, FIGS, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 9.4/10. This exceptional score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +113.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every FIGS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across FIGS's 13 active models, average confidence is 40%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy FIGS, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Apparel & Other Finishd Prods of Fabrics & Similar Matl Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

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Read investment analysis: LULU · GIII · ZGN · LEVI · COLM

Frequently Asked Questions About FIGS, Inc.

What is FIGS, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, FIGS, Inc. (FIGS) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $7.15. The Quality of Company score is 9.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is FIGS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $9.98, 1 of 13 active models suggest FIGS may be undervalued, while 12 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits FIGS, Inc.'s business model in Apparel & Other Finishd Prods of Fabrics & Similar Matl.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.4 mean for FIGS?

FIGS, Inc.'s QOC of 9.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on FIGS?

CirclFi analyzes FIGS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is FIGS a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for FIGS at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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