G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. (GIII) Fair Value 2026

GIII · Apparel Manufacturing ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. (GIII) trades at $33.35, versus a $36.89 median fair value across its 12 active models — 10.6% above the current price. QOC: 7.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $50.19.

Key Facts

Ticker
GIII
Price
$33.35
Quality Score
7.7/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +50.5% upside with 69% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (12/13) may reduce confidence

Is G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. (GIII) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. (GIII) appears undervalued as of : the median of 12 independent fair value estimates is $36.89, 10.6% above the current price of $33.35. Estimates range from $18.37 to $79.31. GIII scores 7.7/10 on fundamental quality and 12/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. GIII’s +10.6% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Apparel Manufacturing sector median is -12.2%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give GIII?

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($33.35)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $50.19 +50.5%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $22.49 -32.6%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $37.39 +12.1%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $48.90 +46.6%
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What Is GIII's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 12 independent models · $18.37 to $79.31

CirclFi's 12 active models place G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. (GIII) between $18.37 and $79.31 per share, a spread of 165% of the median. The median of that range — $36.89 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for GIII, against a current price of $33.35.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · RCMH-DCF
$18.37median $36.89$79.31
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$18.37
Most bullish modelRCMH-DCF$79.31
Model agreement7 bullish · 5 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for GIII. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on GIII, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. (GIII) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, G-III Apparel Group, Ltd.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $36.89, suggesting a +10.6% median upside from the current price of $33.35. While 7 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 5 models flag potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: RCMH-DCF targets $79.31 (+137.8%), versus ML-RIV at $18.37 (-44.9%). This +182.7% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About GIII?

12 of 13 models are currently active for GIII. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for GIII is $36.89 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $50.19 on its own, implying +50.5% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does GIII Rank in Apparel Manufacturing?

Among 25 Apparel Manufacturing stocks, GIII ranks #9 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.7 indicates above-average quality.

The Apparel Manufacturing sector introduces analytical considerations specific to consumer-facing company businesses. For G-III Apparel Group, Ltd., metrics like inventory turnover provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is GIII a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GIII a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for G-III Apparel Group, Ltd.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. scores 7.7 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +182.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every GIII valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across GIII's 12 active models, average confidence is 53%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Apparel Manufacturing Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Apparel Manufacturing stocks with 13-model coverage

SGCSuperior Group of Companies, Inc.QOC 7.7JLJ-Long Group LimitedQOC 7.6GOOSCanada Goose Holdings Inc.QOC 7.9JRSHJerash Holdings (US), Inc.QOC 7.5ZGNErmenegildo Zegna N.V.QOC 7.9PVHPVH Corp.QOC 7.4LAKELakeland Industries, Inc.QOC 6.6PMNTPerfect Moment Ltd. Common StockQOC 5.0KTBKontoor Brands, Inc.QOC 9.0RLRalph Lauren CorporationQOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: SGC · JL · GOOS · JRSH · ZGN · PVH · LAKE · PMNT · KTB · RL

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to GIII?

7 companies across all industries closest to GIII’s Quality of Company score of 7.7/10.

WATWaters CorporationQOC 7.7VRTSVirtus Investment Partners, Inc.QOC 7.7SBSISouthside Bancshares, Inc.QOC 7.7ASTEAstec Industries, Inc.QOC 7.7BABAAlibaba Group Holding LimitedQOC 7.7JCSEJE Cleantech Holdings LimitedQOC 7.7NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: WAT · VRTS · SBSI · ASTE · BABA · JCSE · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About G-III Apparel Group, Ltd.’s Valuation?

What is G-III Apparel Group, Ltd.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. (GIII)'s intrinsic value at $36.89 — the median of 12 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $18.37 to $79.31. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $50.19 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is GIII overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $33.35, 7 of 12 active models suggest GIII may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 12 fair value estimates is $36.89, 10.6% above the current price of $33.35 — a consensus view that GIII is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits G-III Apparel Group, Ltd.'s business model in Apparel Manufacturing.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.7 mean for GIII?

G-III Apparel Group, Ltd.'s QOC of 7.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on GIII?

CirclFi analyzes GIII with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on GIII?

Of the 12 models currently active on GIII, RCMH-DCF is the most bullish at $79.31 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $18.37. CirclFi's published fair value for GIII is the median of that range, $36.89, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 165% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is GIII a value trap in 2026?

G-III Apparel Group, Ltd.'s Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. (GIII) has a median fair value of $36.89 — 10.6% above the current price of $33.35 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/GIII/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this GIII valuation
  • Financial statements: G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000821002) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for GIII as of ; valuations recomputed .

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