Kontoor Brands, Inc. (KTB) Fair Value 2026

KTB · Men's & Boys' Furnishgs, Work Clothg, & Allied Garments ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Kontoor Brands, Inc. (KTB) trades at $84.83, approximately 83% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $46.37. QOC: 9.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
KTB
Price
$84.83
Quality Score
9.8/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 9.8/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($84.83)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
 $46.37 -45.3%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
 $32.56 -61.6%
CUCE Ensemble
Medium Conviction
 $61.05 -28.0%
First Chicago
High Conviction
 $81.84 -3.5%

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What Is Kontoor Brands, Inc. (KTB) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Kontoor Brands, Inc. at its current price of $84.83. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $66.03 (-22.2% average return), with 8 models flagging overvaluation risk. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $125.58 (+48.0%), while EROIC — the most conservative — estimates $26.53 (-68.7%). This +116.8% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Kontoor Brands, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About KTB?

12 of 13 models are currently active for KTB. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates KTB's intrinsic value at $46.37, implying -45.3% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does KTB Rank in Men's & Boys' Furnishgs, Work Clothg, & Allied Garments?

Among 6 Men's & Boys' Furnishgs, Work Clothg, & Allied Garments stocks, KTB ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.8 places KTB in the top tier.

Kontoor Brands, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is KTB a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns KTB a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Kontoor Brands, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Kontoor Brands, Inc. is rated at 9.8/10. This elite-tier score ranks among the highest-quality businesses in our coverage universe.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +116.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every KTB valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across KTB's 12 active models, average confidence is 48%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Kontoor Brands, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Men's & Boys' Furnishgs, Work Clothg, & Allied Garments Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

5 related Men's & Boys' Furnishgs, Work Clothg, & Allied Garments stocks with 13-model coverage

CTASCintas CorporationQOC 9.9RLRalph Lauren CorporationQOC 8.7PVHPVH Corp.QOC 8.5OXMOxford Industries, Inc.QOC 7.0VFCV.F. CorporationQOC 6.8

Read investment analysis: CTAS · RL · PVH · OXM · VFC

Frequently Asked Questions About Kontoor Brands, Inc.

What is Kontoor Brands, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Kontoor Brands, Inc. (KTB) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $46.37. The Quality of Company score is 9.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is KTB overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $84.83, 3 of 12 active models suggest KTB may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Kontoor Brands, Inc.'s business model in Men's & Boys' Furnishgs, Work Clothg, & Allied Garments.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.8 mean for KTB?

Kontoor Brands, Inc.'s QOC of 9.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on KTB?

CirclFi analyzes KTB with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is KTB a value trap in 2026?

Kontoor Brands, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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