Kontoor Brands, Inc. (KTB) Fair Value 2026

KTB · Apparel Manufacturing ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (17/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Kontoor Brands, Inc. (KTB) trades at $76.48, versus a $59.48 median fair value across its 12 active models — 22.2% below the current price. QOC: 9.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 17/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $53.89.

Key Facts

Ticker
KTB
Price
$76.48
Quality Score
9.0/10
Value Trap Risk
17/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +105.0% upside with 62% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Kontoor Brands, Inc. (KTB) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Kontoor Brands, Inc. (KTB) appears overvalued as of : the median of 12 independent fair value estimates is $59.48, 22.2% below the current price of $76.48. Estimates range from $26.60 to $161.90. KTB scores 9.0/10 on fundamental quality and 17/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. KTB’s -22.2% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Apparel Manufacturing sector median is -12.2%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Kontoor Brands, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give KTB?

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($76.48)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $53.89 -29.5%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $38.29 -49.9%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $65.07 -14.9%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $156.78 +105.0%
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What Is KTB's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 12 independent models · $26.60 to $161.90

CirclFi's 12 active models place Kontoor Brands, Inc. (KTB) between $26.60 and $161.90 per share, a spread of 227% of the median. The median of that range — $59.48 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for KTB, against a current price of $76.48.

Low · EROICHigh · Regime Cross
$26.60median $59.48$161.90
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEROIC Spread$26.60
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$161.90
Model agreement4 bullish · 8 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for KTB. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on KTB, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Kontoor Brands, Inc. (KTB) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Kontoor Brands, Inc. at its current price of $76.48. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $59.48 (-22.2% vs price), with 8 models flagging overvaluation risk. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $161.90 (+111.7%), while EROIC — the most conservative — estimates $26.60 (-65.2%). This +176.9% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Kontoor Brands, Inc.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About KTB?

12 of 13 models are currently active for KTB. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for KTB is $59.48 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $53.89 on its own, implying -29.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does KTB Rank in Apparel Manufacturing?

Among 25 Apparel Manufacturing stocks, KTB ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.0 places KTB in the top tier.

As a consumer sector, Kontoor Brands, Inc. operates in a sector where customer lifetime value (CLV) is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating KTB should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is KTB a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns KTB a score of 17/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Kontoor Brands, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Kontoor Brands, Inc. is rated at 9.0/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +176.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every KTB valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across KTB's 12 active models, average confidence is 53%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Kontoor Brands, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Apparel Manufacturing Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Apparel Manufacturing stocks with 13-model coverage

RLRalph Lauren CorporationQOC 9.3COLMColumbia Sportswear CompanyQOC 8.6JXGJX Luxventure Group Inc.QOC 2.0LEVILevi Strauss & Co.QOC 8.5GILGildan Activewear Inc.QOC 2.9FIGSFIGS, Inc.QOC 8.1SGCSuperior Group of Companies, Inc.QOC 7.7VFCV.F. CorporationQOC 7.0PLCEThe Children's Place, Inc.QOC 5.1

Read investment analysis: RL · COLM · JXG · LEVI · GIL · FIGS · SGC · VFC · PLCE

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to KTB?

7 companies across all industries closest to KTB’s Quality of Company score of 9.0/10.

SKYChampion Homes, Inc.QOC 9.0LOGILogitech International S.A.QOC 9.0TOLToll Brothers, Inc.QOC 9.0CRMDCorMedix Inc.QOC 9.0CVLTCommvault Systems, Inc.QOC 9.0RLIRLI Corp.QOC 9.0NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: SKY · LOGI · TOL · CRMD · CVLT · RLI · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Kontoor Brands, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Kontoor Brands, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Kontoor Brands, Inc. (KTB)'s intrinsic value at $59.48 — the median of 12 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $26.60 to $161.90. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $53.89 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 9.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is KTB overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $76.48, 4 of 12 active models suggest KTB may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 12 fair value estimates is $59.48, 22.2% below the current price of $76.48 — a consensus view that KTB is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Kontoor Brands, Inc.'s business model in Apparel Manufacturing.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.0 mean for KTB?

Kontoor Brands, Inc.'s QOC of 9.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on KTB?

CirclFi analyzes KTB with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on KTB?

Of the 12 models currently active on KTB, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $161.90 per share, and EROIC Spread is the most bearish at $26.60. CirclFi's published fair value for KTB is the median of that range, $59.48, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 227% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is KTB a value trap in 2026?

Kontoor Brands, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 17/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Kontoor Brands, Inc. (KTB) has a median fair value of $59.48 — 22.2% below the current price of $76.48 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/KTB/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this KTB valuation
  • Financial statements: Kontoor Brands, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001760965) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for KTB as of ; valuations recomputed .

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