Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (NCI) Fair Value 2026

NCI · Apparel Manufacturing ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (42/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (NCI) trades at $12.57, versus a $1.26 median fair value across its 7 active models — 90.0% below the current price. QOC: 7.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 42/100 (WARN). 7/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
NCI
Price
$12.57
Quality Score
7.3/10
Value Trap Risk
42/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: 7 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Value Trap score of 42 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (NCI) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (NCI) appears overvalued as of : the median of 7 independent fair value estimates is $1.26, 90.0% below the current price of $12.57. Estimates range from $0.17 to $6.69. NCI scores 7.3/10 on fundamental quality and 42/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. NCI’s -90.0% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Apparel Manufacturing sector median is -13.4%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give NCI?

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($12.57)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $0.76 -94.0%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $1.26 -90.0%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $1.30 -89.7%
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What Is NCI's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 7 independent models · $0.17 to $6.69

CirclFi's 7 active models place Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (NCI) between $0.17 and $6.69 per share, a spread of 518% of the median. The median of that range — $1.26 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for NCI, against a current price of $12.57.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · FTNN
$0.17median $1.26$6.69
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$0.17
Most bullish modelFTNN Topology$6.69
Model agreement0 bullish · 7 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for NCI. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on NCI, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (NCI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited's intrinsic value is estimated at $1.26. Trading at its current price of $12.57, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 7 of 7 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -90.0%. Model dispersion is worth noting: FTNN targets $6.69 (-46.8%), versus Dynamic NAV at $0.17 (-98.7%). This +51.9% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About NCI?

7 of 13 models are currently active for NCI. All 7 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for NCI is $1.26 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does NCI Rank in Apparel Manufacturing?

Among 25 Apparel Manufacturing stocks, NCI ranks #13 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.3 indicates above-average quality.

The Apparel Manufacturing sector introduces analytical considerations specific to consumer-facing company businesses. For Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited, metrics like same-store sales growth (comps) provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is NCI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns NCI a score of 42/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited earns a quality score of 7.3/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency. Our Value Trap detector shows moderate caution signals worth monitoring.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +51.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every NCI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across NCI's 7 active models, average confidence is 29%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Apparel Manufacturing Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Apparel Manufacturing stocks with 13-model coverage

PVHPVH Corp.QOC 7.4VFCV.F. CorporationQOC 7.0JRSHJerash Holdings (US), Inc.QOC 7.5LAKELakeland Industries, Inc.QOC 6.6JLJ-Long Group LimitedQOC 7.6OXMOxford Industries, Inc.QOC 6.5UAUnder Armour, Inc.QOC 5.8JXGJX Luxventure Group Inc.QOC 2.0ZGNErmenegildo Zegna N.V.QOC 7.9RLRalph Lauren CorporationQOC 9.3KTBKontoor Brands, Inc.QOC 9.0

Read investment analysis: PVH · VFC · JRSH · LAKE · JL · OXM · UA · JXG · ZGN · RL · KTB

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to NCI?

7 companies across all industries closest to NCI’s Quality of Company score of 7.3/10.

FMCCFederal Home Loan Mortgage CorporationQOC 7.3MVBFMVB Financial Corp.QOC 7.3STNGScorpio Tankers Inc.QOC 7.3EXCExelon CorporationQOC 7.3SRTSSensus Healthcare, Inc.QOC 7.3NCLHNorwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.QOC 7.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: FMCC · MVBF · STNG · EXC · SRTS · NCLH · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited’s Valuation?

What is Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (NCI)'s intrinsic value at $1.26 — the median of 7 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $0.17 to $6.69. The Quality of Company score is 7.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is NCI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $12.57, 0 of 7 active models suggest NCI may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 7 fair value estimates is $1.26, 90.0% below the current price of $12.57 — a consensus view that NCI is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited's business model in Apparel Manufacturing.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.3 mean for NCI?

Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited's QOC of 7.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on NCI?

CirclFi analyzes NCI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on NCI?

Of the 7 models currently active on NCI, FTNN Topology is the most bullish at $6.69 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $0.17. CirclFi's published fair value for NCI is the median of that range, $1.26, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 518% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is NCI a value trap in 2026?

Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited's Value Trap score is 42/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (NCI) has a median fair value of $1.26 — 90.0% below the current price of $12.57 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/NCI/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this NCI valuation

Market data for NCI as of ; valuations recomputed .

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