Orion S.A. (OEC) Fair Value 2026

OEC · Specialty Chemicals ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (34/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Orion S.A. (OEC) trades at $6.27, versus a $11.32 median fair value across its 10 active models — 80.6% above the current price. QOC: 7.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 34/100 (LOW). 10/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
OEC
Price
$6.27
Quality Score
7.0/10
Value Trap Risk
34/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +472.0% upside with 59% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (10/13) may reduce confidence

Is Orion S.A. (OEC) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Orion S.A. (OEC) appears undervalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $11.32, 80.6% above the current price of $6.27. Estimates range from $5.44 to $35.87. OEC scores 7.0/10 on fundamental quality and 34/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. OEC’s +80.6% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Specialty Chemicals sector median is -35.9%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Orion S.A. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give OEC?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($6.27)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $11.19 +78.5%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $11.45 +82.6%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $35.87 +472.0%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $11.94 +90.5%
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What Is OEC's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $5.44 to $35.87

CirclFi's 10 active models place Orion S.A. (OEC) between $5.44 and $35.87 per share, a spread of 269% of the median. The median of that range — $11.32 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for OEC, against a current price of $6.27.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · First Chicago
$5.44median $11.32$35.87
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$5.44
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$35.87
Model agreement8 bullish · 1 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for OEC. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on OEC, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Orion S.A. (OEC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Orion S.A. is potentially undervalued at its current price of $6.27. Based on our 13-model framework, Orion S.A.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $11.32 — representing +80.6% implied upside — with 8 out of 10 active models confirming this thesis. Model dispersion is worth noting: First Chicago targets $35.87 (+472.0%), versus Dynamic NAV at $5.44 (-13.3%). This +485.3% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About OEC?

10 of 13 models are currently active for OEC. Of these, 8 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for OEC is $11.32 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does OEC Rank in Specialty Chemicals?

Among 69 Specialty Chemicals stocks, OEC ranks #32 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.0 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Specialty Chemicals Stocks →

As a industrial enterprise, Orion S.A. operates in a sector where capacity utilization rate is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating OEC should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is OEC a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns OEC a score of 34/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Orion S.A.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Orion S.A. is rated at 7.0/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +485.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every OEC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across OEC's 10 active models, average confidence is 47%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Orion S.A. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Specialty Chemicals Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Specialty Chemicals stocks with 13-model coverage

ALTOAlto Ingredients, Inc.QOC 7.2LYBLyondellBasell Industries N.V.QOC 6.9FSIFlexible Solutions International, Inc.QOC 7.2DDDuPont de Nemours, Inc.QOC 6.9ALBAlbemarle CorporationQOC 7.2MATVMativ Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.9FFFutureFuel Corp.QOC 6.1SQMSociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A.QOC 2.7NTICNorthern Technologies International CorporationQOC 8.2ODCOil-Dri Corporation of AmericaQOC 9.2RPMRPM International Inc.QOC 9.0

Read investment analysis: ALTO · LYB · FSI · DD · ALB · MATV · FF · SQM · NTIC · ODC · RPM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to OEC?

7 companies across all industries closest to OEC’s Quality of Company score of 7.0/10.

FSLYFastly, Inc.QOC 7.0CALCaleres, Inc.QOC 7.0EHLDEuroholdings Ltd.QOC 7.0CFFNCapitol Federal Financial, Inc.QOC 7.0FNMAFederal National Mortgage AssociationQOC 7.0UUnity Software Inc.QOC 7.0NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: FSLY · CAL · EHLD · CFFN · FNMA · U · NVDA

Where Does OEC Sit in CirclFi's Specialty Chemicals Rankings?

OEC is ranked against every other Specialty Chemicals stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Specialty Chemicals stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Orion S.A.’s Valuation?

What is Orion S.A.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Orion S.A. (OEC)'s intrinsic value at $11.32 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $5.44 to $35.87. The Quality of Company score is 7.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is OEC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $6.27, 8 of 10 active models suggest OEC may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $11.32, 80.6% above the current price of $6.27 — a consensus view that OEC is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Orion S.A.'s business model in Specialty Chemicals.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.0 mean for OEC?

Orion S.A.'s QOC of 7.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on OEC?

CirclFi analyzes OEC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on OEC?

Of the 10 models currently active on OEC, First Chicago is the most bullish at $35.87 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $5.44. CirclFi's published fair value for OEC is the median of that range, $11.32, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 269% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is OEC a value trap in 2026?

Orion S.A.'s Value Trap score is 34/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Orion S.A. (OEC) has a median fair value of $11.32 — 80.6% above the current price of $6.27 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/OEC/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this OEC valuation
  • Financial statements: Orion S.A. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001609804) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for OEC as of ; valuations recomputed .

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