Fidus Investment Corporation (FDUS) Fair Value 2026

FDUS · Asset Management ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (48/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Fidus Investment Corporation (FDUS) trades at $19.70, versus a $15.90 median fair value across its 11 active models — 19.3% below the current price. QOC: 7.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 48/100 (WARN). 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
FDUS
Price
$19.70
Quality Score
7.0/10
Value Trap Risk
48/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: 11 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Value Trap score of 48 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is Fidus Investment Corporation (FDUS) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Fidus Investment Corporation (FDUS) appears overvalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $15.90, 19.3% below the current price of $19.70. Estimates range from $1.26 to $22.20. FDUS scores 7.0/10 on fundamental quality and 48/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. FDUS’s -19.3% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Asset Management sector median is -4.4%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Fidus Investment Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give FDUS?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($19.70)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $1.26 -93.6%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $13.50 -31.4%
Scenario · Medium Conviction
 $17.04 -13.5%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $18.28 -7.2%
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What Is FDUS's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $1.26 to $22.20

CirclFi's 11 active models place Fidus Investment Corporation (FDUS) between $1.26 and $22.20 per share, a spread of 132% of the median. The median of that range — $15.90 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for FDUS, against a current price of $19.70.

Low · EPVHigh · PWERM
$1.26median $15.90$22.20
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$1.26
Most bullish modelPWERM$22.20
Model agreement1 bullish · 8 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for FDUS. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on FDUS, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Fidus Investment Corporation (FDUS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Fidus Investment Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $15.90. Trading at $19.70, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -19.3%), as 8 of 11 models suggest limited further upside. The most optimistic model, PWERM, places fair value at $22.20 (+12.7%), while EPV — the most conservative — estimates $1.26 (-93.6%). This +106.3% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Fidus Investment Corporation's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About FDUS?

11 of 13 models are currently active for FDUS. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for FDUS is $15.90 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does FDUS Rank in Asset Management?

Among 187 Asset Management stocks, FDUS ranks #44 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.0 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Asset Management Stocks →

Fidus Investment Corporation operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is FDUS a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns FDUS a score of 48/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Fidus Investment Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Fidus Investment Corporation earns a quality score of 7.0/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency. Our Value Trap detector shows moderate caution signals worth monitoring.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +106.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every FDUS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across FDUS's 11 active models, average confidence is 38%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Fidus Investment Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Asset Management Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Asset Management stocks with 13-model coverage

RPCRidgepost Capital, IncQOC 7.1OWLBlue Owl Capital Inc.QOC 7.0KKRKKR & Co. Inc.QOC 7.1AMTDAMTD IDEA GroupQOC 6.9TIPTTiptree Inc.QOC 7.2GLADGladstone Capital CorporationQOC 6.9PIACPrinceton Capital CorporationQOC 5.5RVTRoyce Small-Cap Trust, Inc.QOC 4.7GNTGAMCO Natural Resources, Gold & Income TrustQOC 2.2HLNEHamilton Lane IncorporatedQOC 9.3AMPAmeriprise Financial, Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: RPC · OWL · KKR · AMTD · TIPT · GLAD · PIAC · RVT · GNT · HLNE · AMP

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to FDUS?

7 companies across all industries closest to FDUS’s Quality of Company score of 7.0/10.

HTHHilltop Holdings Inc.QOC 7.0FCCOFirst Community CorporationQOC 7.0JVACoffee Holding Co., Inc.QOC 7.0STLYHG Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.0WKWorkiva Inc.QOC 7.1FSLYFastly, Inc.QOC 7.0NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: HTH · FCCO · JVA · STLY · WK · FSLY · NVDA

Where Does FDUS Sit in CirclFi's Asset Management Rankings?

FDUS is ranked against every other Asset Management stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Asset Management stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Fidus Investment Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Fidus Investment Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Fidus Investment Corporation (FDUS)'s intrinsic value at $15.90 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $1.26 to $22.20. The Quality of Company score is 7.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is FDUS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $19.70, 2 of 11 active models suggest FDUS may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $15.90, 19.3% below the current price of $19.70 — a consensus view that FDUS is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Fidus Investment Corporation's business model in Asset Management.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.0 mean for FDUS?

Fidus Investment Corporation's QOC of 7.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on FDUS?

CirclFi analyzes FDUS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on FDUS?

Of the 11 models currently active on FDUS, PWERM is the most bullish at $22.20 per share, and Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bearish at $1.26. CirclFi's published fair value for FDUS is the median of that range, $15.90, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 132% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is FDUS a value trap in 2026?

Fidus Investment Corporation's Value Trap score is 48/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Fidus Investment Corporation (FDUS) has a median fair value of $15.90 — 19.3% below the current price of $19.70 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/FDUS/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this FDUS valuation
  • Financial statements: Fidus Investment Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001513363) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for FDUS as of ; valuations recomputed .

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