Hamilton Lane Incorporated (HLNE) Fair Value 2026

HLNE · Asset Management ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 6 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (14/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Hamilton Lane Incorporated (HLNE) trades at $106.04, versus a $53.72 median fair value across its 6 active models — 49.3% below the current price. QOC: 9.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 14/100 (SAFE). 6/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
HLNE
Price
$106.04
Quality Score
9.3/10
Value Trap Risk
14/100
Models Active
6/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 9.3/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Hamilton Lane Incorporated (HLNE) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 6-model valuation engine, Hamilton Lane Incorporated (HLNE) appears overvalued as of : the median of 6 independent fair value estimates is $53.72, 49.3% below the current price of $106.04. Estimates range from $21.94 to $70.70. HLNE scores 9.3/10 on fundamental quality and 14/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. HLNE’s -49.3% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Asset Management sector median is -4.4%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Hamilton Lane Incorporated Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give HLNE?

6 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($106.04)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $21.94 -79.3%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $49.12 -53.7%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $39.67 -62.6%
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What Is HLNE's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 6 independent models · $21.94 to $70.70

CirclFi's 6 active models place Hamilton Lane Incorporated (HLNE) between $21.94 and $70.70 per share, a spread of 91% of the median. The median of that range — $53.72 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for HLNE, against a current price of $106.04.

Low · EPVHigh · FTNN
$21.94median $53.72$70.70
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$21.94
Most bullish modelFTNN Topology$70.70
Model agreement0 bullish · 6 bearishmoderate

A band of this width is typical. The methods agree on direction but weight growth, reinvestment and risk differently, so treat the median as a centre of gravity rather than a precise target.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on HLNE, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Hamilton Lane Incorporated (HLNE) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Hamilton Lane Incorporated's intrinsic value is estimated at $53.72, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $106.04. With 6 out of 6 models flagging downside (-49.3% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Notably, FTNN sees the most upside at -33.3% (fair value: $70.70), while EPV is the most conservative at -79.3% ($21.94). The spread between these extremes — +46.0% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About HLNE?

6 of 13 models are currently active for HLNE. All 6 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for HLNE is $53.72 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does HLNE Rank in Asset Management?

Among 187 Asset Management stocks, HLNE ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.3 places HLNE in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Asset Management Stocks →

Hamilton Lane Incorporated operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is HLNE a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns HLNE a score of 14/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

6 of 13 models are active for Hamilton Lane Incorporated. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Hamilton Lane Incorporated's fundamental quality profile registers 9.3/10. This exceptional score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +46.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every HLNE valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across HLNE's 6 active models, average confidence is 43%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Hamilton Lane Incorporated Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Asset Management Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Asset Management stocks with 13-model coverage

ALPAlpha Compute CorpQOC 2.1AMPAmeriprise Financial, Inc.QOC 9.3TBLDThornburg Income Builder Opportunities TrustQOC 2.2GCMGGCM Grosvenor Inc.QOC 9.0PDPAPearl Diver Credit Company Inc.QOC 2.2BXBlackstone Inc.QOC 8.9GLADGladstone Capital CorporationQOC 6.9CFNBCalifornia First Leasing CorporationQOC 5.3VLTInvesco High Income Trust IIQOC 4.6

Read investment analysis: ALP · AMP · TBLD · GCMG · PDPA · BX · GLAD · CFNB · VLT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to HLNE?

7 companies across all industries closest to HLNE’s Quality of Company score of 9.3/10.

ADPAutomatic Data Processing, Inc.QOC 9.3VEEVVeeva Systems Inc.QOC 9.3AMATApplied Materials, Inc.QOC 9.4TWTradeweb Markets Inc.QOC 9.3GSLGlobal Ship Lease, Inc.QOC 9.4WTSWatts Water Technologies, Inc.QOC 9.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: ADP · VEEV · AMAT · TW · GSL · WTS · NVDA

Where Does HLNE Sit in CirclFi's Asset Management Rankings?

HLNE is ranked against every other Asset Management stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Asset Management stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Hamilton Lane Incorporated’s Valuation?

What is Hamilton Lane Incorporated's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Hamilton Lane Incorporated (HLNE)'s intrinsic value at $53.72 — the median of 6 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $21.94 to $70.70. The Quality of Company score is 9.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is HLNE overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $106.04, 0 of 6 active models suggest HLNE may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 6 fair value estimates is $53.72, 49.3% below the current price of $106.04 — a consensus view that HLNE is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Hamilton Lane Incorporated's business model in Asset Management.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.3 mean for HLNE?

Hamilton Lane Incorporated's QOC of 9.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on HLNE?

CirclFi analyzes HLNE with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 6 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on HLNE?

Of the 6 models currently active on HLNE, FTNN Topology is the most bullish at $70.70 per share, and Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bearish at $21.94. CirclFi's published fair value for HLNE is the median of that range, $53.72, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 91% of the median — a normal spread for a company of this profile. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is HLNE a value trap in 2026?

Hamilton Lane Incorporated's Value Trap score is 14/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 6-model valuation engine, Hamilton Lane Incorporated (HLNE) has a median fair value of $53.72 — 49.3% below the current price of $106.04 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/HLNE/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this HLNE valuation
  • Financial statements: Hamilton Lane Incorporated 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001433642) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for HLNE as of ; valuations recomputed .

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