Artisan Partners Asset Manageme (APAM) Fair Value 2026

APAM · Asset Management ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (20/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Artisan Partners Asset Manageme (APAM) trades at $36.66, approximately 9% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $40.08. QOC: 9.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 20/100 (SAFE). 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
APAM
Price
$36.66
Quality Score
9.6/10
Value Trap Risk
20/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +41.5% upside with 50% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (13/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($36.66)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$40.08 +9.3%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$22.75 -38.0%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$32.48 -11.4%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$51.88 +41.5%

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What Is Artisan Partners Asset Manageme (APAM) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Artisan Partners Asset Manageme presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $36.67. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $32.11 (-12.4% average upside), masking a wide model spread between the 5 bullish models and 6 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: First Chicago targets $51.88 (+41.5%), versus Dynamic NAV at $2.25 (-93.9%). This +135.4% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About APAM?

13 of 13 models are currently active for APAM. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates APAM's intrinsic value at $40.08, implying +9.3% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does APAM Rank in Asset Management?

Among 22 Asset Management stocks, APAM ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.6 places APAM in the top tier.

Artisan Partners Asset Manageme operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is APAM a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns APAM a score of 20/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for Artisan Partners Asset Manageme. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Artisan Partners Asset Manageme's fundamental quality profile registers 9.6/10. This exceptional score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +135.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every APAM valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across APAM's 13 active models, average confidence is 43%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Artisan Partners Asset Manageme Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Asset Management Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Asset Management stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: AMP · APO · ARES · AMG · AAMI

Frequently Asked Questions About Artisan Partners Asset Manageme

What is Artisan Partners Asset Manageme's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Artisan Partners Asset Manageme (APAM) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $40.08. The Quality of Company score is 9.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is APAM overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $36.66, 5 of 13 active models suggest APAM may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Artisan Partners Asset Manageme's business model in Asset Management.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.6 mean for APAM?

Artisan Partners Asset Manageme's QOC of 9.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on APAM?

CirclFi analyzes APAM with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is APAM a value trap in 2026?

Artisan Partners Asset Manageme's Value Trap score is 20/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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