Apollo Global Management, Inc. (APO) Fair Value 2026

APO · Asset Management ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 3 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (21/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Apollo Global Management, Inc. (APO) trades at $133.44, versus a $109.11 median fair value across its 3 active models — 18.2% below the current price. QOC: 8.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 21/100 (SAFE). 3/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
APO
Price
$133.44
Quality Score
8.8/10
Value Trap Risk
21/100
Models Active
3/13
Last Updated
Strength: Regime Cross-Sectional suggests +29.6% upside with 41% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Apollo Global Management, Inc. (APO) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Apollo Global Management, Inc. (APO) appears overvalued as of : the median of 3 independent fair value estimates is $109.11, 18.2% below the current price of $133.44. Estimates range from $31.76 to $172.89. APO scores 8.8/10 on fundamental quality and 21/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. APO’s -18.2% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Asset Management sector median is -4.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Apollo Global Management, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give APO?

3 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($133.44)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $31.76 -76.2%
Relative · Medium Conviction
 $172.89 +29.6%
Relative · Low Conviction
 $109.11 -18.2%

All Models Active

All 3 models are displayed above.

What Is APO's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 3 independent models · $31.76 to $172.89

CirclFi's 3 active models place Apollo Global Management, Inc. (APO) between $31.76 and $172.89 per share, a spread of 129% of the median. The median of that range — $109.11 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for APO, against a current price of $133.44.

Low · Markov DDMHigh · Regime Cross
$31.76median $109.11$172.89
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelMarkov DDM$31.76
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$172.89
Model agreement1 bullish · 2 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for APO. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on APO, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Apollo Global Management, Inc. (APO) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Apollo Global Management, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $109.11. Trading at $133.44, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -18.2%), as 2 of 3 models suggest limited further upside. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $172.89 (+29.6%), versus Markov DDM at $31.76 (-76.2%). This +105.8% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About APO?

3 of 13 models are currently active for APO. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for APO is $109.11 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does APO Rank in Asset Management?

Among 186 Asset Management stocks, APO ranks #6 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.8 places APO in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Asset Management Stocks →

Apollo Global Management, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is APO a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns APO a score of 21/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

3 of 13 models are active for Apollo Global Management, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Apollo Global Management, Inc. earns a quality score of 8.8/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +105.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every APO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across APO's 3 active models, average confidence is 37%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Apollo Global Management, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Asset Management Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Asset Management stocks with 13-model coverage

SEICSEI Investments CompanyQOC 8.9SIISprott Inc.QOC 8.8BXBlackstone Inc.QOC 8.9WTWisdomTree, Inc.QOC 8.8GCMGGCM Grosvenor Inc.QOC 9.0RJFRaymond James Financial, Inc.QOC 8.6OCSLOaktree Specialty Lending CorporationQOC 6.8GLUThe Gabelli Global Utility & Income TrustQOC 5.2OFSOFS Capital CorporationQOC 4.6HLNEHamilton Lane IncorporatedQOC 9.3AMPAmeriprise Financial, Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: SEIC · SII · BX · WT · GCMG · RJF · OCSL · GLU · OFS · HLNE · AMP

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to APO?

7 companies across all industries closest to APO’s Quality of Company score of 8.8/10.

WSFSWSFS Financial CorporationQOC 8.9KOFCoca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V.QOC 8.8FSSFederal Signal CorporationQOC 8.9CINFCincinnati Financial CorporationQOC 8.8FLSFlowserve CorporationQOC 8.9ZTOZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.QOC 8.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: WSFS · KOF · FSS · CINF · FLS · ZTO · NVDA

Where Does APO Sit in CirclFi's Asset Management Rankings?

APO is ranked against every other Asset Management stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Asset Management stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Apollo Global Management, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Apollo Global Management, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Apollo Global Management, Inc. (APO)'s intrinsic value at $109.11 — the median of 3 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $31.76 to $172.89. The Quality of Company score is 8.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is APO overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $133.44, 1 of 3 active models suggest APO may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 3 fair value estimates is $109.11, 18.2% below the current price of $133.44 — a consensus view that APO is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Apollo Global Management, Inc.'s business model in Asset Management.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.8 mean for APO?

Apollo Global Management, Inc.'s QOC of 8.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on APO?

CirclFi analyzes APO with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 3 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on APO?

Of the 3 models currently active on APO, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $172.89 per share, and Markov DDM is the most bearish at $31.76. CirclFi's published fair value for APO is the median of that range, $109.11, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 129% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is APO a value trap in 2026?

Apollo Global Management, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 21/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Apollo Global Management, Inc. (APO) has a median fair value of $109.11 — 18.2% below the current price of $133.44 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/APO/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this APO valuation
  • Financial statements: Apollo Global Management, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001858681) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for APO as of ; valuations recomputed .