What Is Ares Management Corporation (ARES) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Ares Management Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $75.63, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $120.45. With 9 out of 12 models flagging downside (-37.2% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: Markov DDM targets $187.63 (+55.8%), versus EPV at $6.30 (-94.8%). This +150.5% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.
What Do the Models Say About ARES?
12 of 13 models are currently active for ARES. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates ARES's intrinsic value at $120.04, implying -0.3% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does ARES Rank in Asset Management?
Among 22 Asset Management stocks, ARES ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.6 places ARES in the top tier.
Ares Management Corporation operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is ARES a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ARES a score of 30/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Ares Management Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Ares Management Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 8.6/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +150.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every ARES valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across ARES's 12 active models, average confidence is 37%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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