Gladstone Capital Corporation (GLAD) Fair Value 2026

GLAD · Asset Management ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (30/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Gladstone Capital Corporation (GLAD) trades at $19.89, versus a $20.03 median fair value across its 11 active models — 0.7% above the current price. QOC: 6.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 30/100 (LOW). 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
GLAD
Price
$19.89
Quality Score
6.9/10
Value Trap Risk
30/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +106.7% upside with 49% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (11/13) may reduce confidence

Is Gladstone Capital Corporation (GLAD) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Gladstone Capital Corporation (GLAD) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $20.03, essentially in line with the current price of $19.89. Estimates range from $1.22 to $41.13. GLAD scores 6.9/10 on fundamental quality and 30/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. GLAD’s +0.7% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Asset Management sector median is -4.4%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Gladstone Capital Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give GLAD?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($19.89)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $8.35 -58.0%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $20.03 +0.7%
Scenario · Medium Conviction
 $41.13 +106.7%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $33.95 +70.7%
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What Is GLAD's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $1.22 to $41.13

CirclFi's 11 active models place Gladstone Capital Corporation (GLAD) between $1.22 and $41.13 per share, a spread of 199% of the median. The median of that range — $20.03 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for GLAD, against a current price of $19.89.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · First Chicago
$1.22median $20.03$41.13
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$1.22
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$41.13
Model agreement5 bullish · 5 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for GLAD. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on GLAD, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Gladstone Capital Corporation (GLAD) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Gladstone Capital Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $20.03, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $19.90. With a median implied return of +0.7% across a split 5–5 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +200.6% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, First Chicago sees the most upside at +106.7% (fair value: $41.13), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -93.9% ($1.22). The spread between these extremes — +200.6% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About GLAD?

11 of 13 models are currently active for GLAD. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for GLAD is $20.03 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does GLAD Rank in Asset Management?

Among 187 Asset Management stocks, GLAD ranks #47 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.9 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Asset Management Stocks →

Gladstone Capital Corporation operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is GLAD a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GLAD a score of 30/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Gladstone Capital Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Gladstone Capital Corporation earns a quality score of 6.9/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +200.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every GLAD valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across GLAD's 11 active models, average confidence is 37%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Gladstone Capital Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Asset Management Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Asset Management stocks with 13-model coverage

AMTDAMTD IDEA GroupQOC 6.9GROWU.S. Global Investors, Inc.QOC 6.9OWLBlue Owl Capital Inc.QOC 7.0LIENChicago Atlantic BDC, Inc.QOC 6.9FDUSFidus Investment CorporationQOC 7.0OBDCBlue Owl Capital CorporationQOC 6.9ASAASA Gold and Precious Metals LimitedQOC 5.4BMEBlackRock Health Sciences TrustQOC 4.6ALPAlpha Compute CorpQOC 2.1HLNEHamilton Lane IncorporatedQOC 9.3AMPAmeriprise Financial, Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: AMTD · GROW · OWL · LIEN · FDUS · OBDC · ASA · BME · ALP · HLNE · AMP

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to GLAD?

7 companies across all industries closest to GLAD’s Quality of Company score of 6.9/10.

MQMarqeta, Inc.QOC 6.9HBNCHorizon Bancorp, Inc.QOC 6.9HRIHerc Holdings Inc.QOC 6.9BKHBlack Hills CorporationQOC 6.9PCSVPCS Edventures!, Inc.QOC 6.9EXFYExpensify, Inc.QOC 6.9NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: MQ · HBNC · HRI · BKH · PCSV · EXFY · NVDA

Where Does GLAD Sit in CirclFi's Asset Management Rankings?

GLAD is ranked against every other Asset Management stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Asset Management stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Gladstone Capital Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Gladstone Capital Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Gladstone Capital Corporation (GLAD)'s intrinsic value at $20.03 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $1.22 to $41.13. The Quality of Company score is 6.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is GLAD overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $19.89, 6 of 11 active models suggest GLAD may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $20.03, essentially in line with the current price of $19.89 — a consensus view that GLAD is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Gladstone Capital Corporation's business model in Asset Management.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.9 mean for GLAD?

Gladstone Capital Corporation's QOC of 6.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on GLAD?

CirclFi analyzes GLAD with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on GLAD?

Of the 11 models currently active on GLAD, First Chicago is the most bullish at $41.13 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $1.22. CirclFi's published fair value for GLAD is the median of that range, $20.03, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 199% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is GLAD a value trap in 2026?

Gladstone Capital Corporation's Value Trap score is 30/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Gladstone Capital Corporation (GLAD) has a median fair value of $20.03 — essentially in line with the current price of $19.89 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/GLAD/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this GLAD valuation
  • Financial statements: Gladstone Capital Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001143513) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for GLAD as of ; valuations recomputed .

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