Avnet, Inc. (AVT) Fair Value 2026

AVT · Electronics & Computer Distribution ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (50/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Avnet, Inc. (AVT) trades at $88.63, versus a $64.75 median fair value across its 11 active models — 26.9% below the current price. QOC: 7.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 50/100 (WARN). 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
AVT
Price
$88.63
Quality Score
7.0/10
Value Trap Risk
50/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +65.3% upside with 63% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 50 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is Avnet, Inc. (AVT) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Avnet, Inc. (AVT) appears overvalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $64.75, 26.9% below the current price of $88.63. Estimates range from $18.26 to $148.75. AVT scores 7.0/10 on fundamental quality and 50/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. AVT’s -26.9% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Avnet, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give AVT?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($88.63)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $25.99 -70.7%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $64.75 -26.9%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $146.46 +65.3%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $45.35 -48.8%
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What Is AVT's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $18.26 to $148.75

CirclFi's 11 active models place Avnet, Inc. (AVT) between $18.26 and $148.75 per share, a spread of 202% of the median. The median of that range — $64.75 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for AVT, against a current price of $88.63.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · Regime Cross
$18.26median $64.75$148.75
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$18.26
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$148.75
Model agreement4 bullish · 7 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for AVT. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on AVT, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Avnet, Inc. (AVT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Avnet, Inc. at its current price of $88.63. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $64.75 (-26.9% vs price), with 7 models flagging overvaluation risk. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +67.8% (fair value: $148.75), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -79.4% ($18.26). The spread between these extremes — +147.2% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About AVT?

11 of 13 models are currently active for AVT. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for AVT is $64.75 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does AVT Rank in Electronics & Computer Distribution?

Among 12 Electronics & Computer Distribution stocks, AVT ranks #9 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.0 indicates above-average quality.

Avnet, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is AVT a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AVT a score of 50/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Avnet, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Avnet, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 7.0/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +147.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every AVT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across AVT's 11 active models, average confidence is 51%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Avnet, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Electronics & Computer Distribution Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Electronics & Computer Distribution stocks with 13-model coverage

CLMBClimb Global Solutions, Inc.QOC 8.8EACOEACO CorporationQOC 8.8CNXNPC Connection, Inc.QOC 8.2SCSCScanSource, Inc.QOC 8.1SNXTD SYNNEX CorporationQOC 8.0SPRSSurge Components, Inc.QOC 7.4NSITInsight Enterprises, Inc.QOC 7.3NLSTNetlist, Inc.QOC 7.1ARWArrow Electronics, Inc.QOC 7.0TAITTaitron Components IncorporatedQOC 6.7IZMICZOOM Group Inc.QOC 2.8

Read investment analysis: CLMB · EACO · CNXN · SCSC · SNX · SPRS · NSIT · NLST · ARW · TAIT · IZM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to AVT?

7 companies across all industries closest to AVT’s Quality of Company score of 7.0/10.

OECOrion S.A.QOC 7.0UUnity Software Inc.QOC 7.0CFFNCapitol Federal Financial, Inc.QOC 7.0PNWPinnacle West Capital CorporationQOC 7.0CALCaleres, Inc.QOC 7.0NXGLNEXGEL, Inc.QOC 7.0NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: OEC · U · CFFN · PNW · CAL · NXGL · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Avnet, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Avnet, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Avnet, Inc. (AVT)'s intrinsic value at $64.75 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $18.26 to $148.75. The Quality of Company score is 7.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is AVT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $88.63, 4 of 11 active models suggest AVT may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $64.75, 26.9% below the current price of $88.63 — a consensus view that AVT is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Avnet, Inc.'s business model in Electronics & Computer Distribution.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.0 mean for AVT?

Avnet, Inc.'s QOC of 7.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on AVT?

CirclFi analyzes AVT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on AVT?

Of the 11 models currently active on AVT, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $148.75 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $18.26. CirclFi's published fair value for AVT is the median of that range, $64.75, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 202% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is AVT a value trap in 2026?

Avnet, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 50/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Avnet, Inc. (AVT) has a median fair value of $64.75 — 26.9% below the current price of $88.63 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/AVT/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this AVT valuation
  • Financial statements: Avnet, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000008858) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for AVT as of ; valuations recomputed .

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