What Is Arrow Electronics, Inc. (ARW) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Arrow Electronics, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite $220.33, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $201.76. While the average implied return is +9.2%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +198.1% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, Dynamic NAV, places fair value at $504.77 (+150.2%), while Sentiment SOTP — the most conservative — estimates $105.17 (-47.9%). This +198.1% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Arrow Electronics, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About ARW?
13 of 13 models are currently active for ARW. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates ARW's intrinsic value at $106.68, implying -47.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does ARW Rank in Electronics & Computer Distribution?
Among 1 Electronics & Computer Distribution stocks, ARW ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.4 places ARW in the top tier.
Arrow Electronics, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is ARW a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ARW a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Arrow Electronics, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Arrow Electronics, Inc. scores 8.4 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +198.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every ARW valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across ARW's 13 active models, average confidence is 46%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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