Playboy, Inc. (PLBY) Fair Value 2026

PLBY · Leisure ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 5 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (45/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Playboy, Inc. (PLBY) trades at $1.20, versus a $0.85 median fair value across its 5 active models — 28.9% below the current price. QOC: 5.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 45/100 (WARN). 5/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
PLBY
Price
$1.20
Quality Score
5.8/10
Value Trap Risk
45/100
Models Active
5/13
Last Updated
Strength: 5 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Value Trap score of 45 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is Playboy, Inc. (PLBY) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, Playboy, Inc. (PLBY) appears overvalued as of : the median of 5 independent fair value estimates is $0.85, 28.9% below the current price of $1.20. Estimates range from $0.04 to $1.48. PLBY scores 5.8/10 on fundamental quality and 45/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. PLBY’s -28.9% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Leisure sector median is -28.3%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Playboy, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give PLBY?

5 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.20)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $0.85 -28.9%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $0.04 -96.8%
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What Is PLBY's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 5 independent models · $0.04 to $1.48

CirclFi's 5 active models place Playboy, Inc. (PLBY) between $0.04 and $1.48 per share, a spread of 169% of the median. The median of that range — $0.85 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for PLBY, against a current price of $1.20.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · PWERM
$0.04median $0.85$1.48
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$0.04
Most bullish modelPWERM$1.48
Model agreement2 bullish · 3 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for PLBY. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on PLBY, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Playboy, Inc. (PLBY) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Playboy, Inc. at its current price of $1.20. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $0.85 (-28.9% vs price), with 3 models flagging overvaluation risk. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $1.48 (+23.2%), versus ML-RIV at $0.04 (-96.8%). This +119.9% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About PLBY?

5 of 13 models are currently active for PLBY. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for PLBY is $0.85 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does PLBY Rank in Leisure?

Among 37 Leisure stocks, PLBY ranks #24 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.8 reflects mixed fundamentals.

Playboy, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is PLBY a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns PLBY a score of 45/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

5 of 13 models are active for Playboy, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Playboy, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 5.8/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +119.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every PLBY valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across PLBY's 5 active models, average confidence is 29%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Playboy, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Leisure Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Leisure stocks with 13-model coverage

NOMANomadar Corp.QOC 6.0LUCKLucky Strike Entertainment CorporationQOC 5.8XPOFXponential Fitness, Inc.QOC 6.1PUSAAureus Greenway Holdings Inc.QOC 5.6FNKOFunko, Inc.QOC 6.2NWTGNewton Golf Company, Inc.QOC 5.4KMRKK-TECH Solutions Company LimitedQOC 3.0OSWOneSpaWorld Holdings LimitedQOC 8.3HASHasbro, Inc.QOC 7.2GOLFAcushnet Holdings Corp.QOC 8.9PLNTPlanet Fitness, Inc.QOC 8.7

Read investment analysis: NOMA · LUCK · XPOF · PUSA · FNKO · NWTG · KMRK · OSW · HAS · GOLF · PLNT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to PLBY?

7 companies across all industries closest to PLBY’s Quality of Company score of 5.8/10.

INVUInvestview, Inc.QOC 5.8EVHEvolent Health, Inc.QOC 5.8OMDAOmada Health, Inc.QOC 5.8WOLFWolfspeed, Inc.QOC 5.8RGNXREGENXBIO Inc.QOC 5.8INDOIndonesia Energy Corporation LimitedQOC 5.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: INVU · EVH · OMDA · WOLF · RGNX · INDO · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Playboy, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Playboy, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Playboy, Inc. (PLBY)'s intrinsic value at $0.85 — the median of 5 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $0.04 to $1.48. The Quality of Company score is 5.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is PLBY overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.20, 2 of 5 active models suggest PLBY may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 5 fair value estimates is $0.85, 28.9% below the current price of $1.20 — a consensus view that PLBY is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Playboy, Inc.'s business model in Leisure.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.8 mean for PLBY?

Playboy, Inc.'s QOC of 5.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on PLBY?

CirclFi analyzes PLBY with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 5 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on PLBY?

Of the 5 models currently active on PLBY, PWERM is the most bullish at $1.48 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $0.04. CirclFi's published fair value for PLBY is the median of that range, $0.85, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 169% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is PLBY a value trap in 2026?

Playboy, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 45/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, Playboy, Inc. (PLBY) has a median fair value of $0.85 — 28.9% below the current price of $1.20 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/PLBY/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this PLBY valuation
  • Financial statements: Playboy, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001803914) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for PLBY as of ; valuations recomputed .

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