Akamai Technologies, Inc. (AKAM) Fair Value 2026

AKAM · Software - Infrastructure ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (37/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Akamai Technologies, Inc. (AKAM) trades at $111.24, versus a $117.87 median fair value across its 10 active models — 6.0% above the current price. QOC: 8.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 37/100 (LOW). 10/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $161.48.

Key Facts

Ticker
AKAM
Price
$111.24
Quality Score
8.4/10
Value Trap Risk
37/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +45.2% upside with 72% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Akamai Technologies, Inc. (AKAM) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Akamai Technologies, Inc. (AKAM) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $117.87, within 6.0% of the current price of $111.24. Estimates range from $14.42 to $213.97. AKAM scores 8.4/10 on fundamental quality and 37/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. AKAM’s +6.0% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Software - Infrastructure sector median is -22.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Akamai Technologies, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give AKAM?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($111.24)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $161.48 +45.2%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $51.57 -53.6%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $106.93 -3.9%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $48.62 -56.3%
Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 6 additional models including Markov DDM, ML-RIV, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 10 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is AKAM's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $14.42 to $213.97

CirclFi's 10 active models place Akamai Technologies, Inc. (AKAM) between $14.42 and $213.97 per share, a spread of 169% of the median. The median of that range — $117.87 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for AKAM, against a current price of $111.24.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · Markov DDM
$14.42median $117.87$213.97
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$14.42
Most bullish modelMarkov DDM$213.97
Model agreement5 bullish · 4 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for AKAM. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on AKAM, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Akamai Technologies, Inc. (AKAM) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Akamai Technologies, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median $117.87, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $111.24. While the median implied return is +6.0%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +179.4% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, Markov DDM, places fair value at $213.97 (+92.3%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $14.42 (-87.0%). This +179.4% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Akamai Technologies, Inc.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About AKAM?

10 of 13 models are currently active for AKAM. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for AKAM is $117.87 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $161.48 on its own, implying +45.2% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does AKAM Rank in Software - Infrastructure?

Among 186 Software - Infrastructure stocks, AKAM ranks #30 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.4 places AKAM in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Software - Infrastructure Stocks →

The Software - Infrastructure sector introduces analytical considerations specific to technology businesses. For Akamai Technologies, Inc., metrics like customer acquisition cost (CAC) provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is AKAM a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AKAM a score of 37/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Akamai Technologies, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Akamai Technologies, Inc. scores 8.4 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +179.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every AKAM valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across AKAM's 10 active models, average confidence is 51%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Akamai Technologies, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Software - Infrastructure Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Software - Infrastructure stocks with 13-model coverage

FIVNFive9, Inc.QOC 8.4DOXAmdocs LimitedQOC 8.4GENGen Digital Inc.QOC 8.4TDCTeradata CorporationQOC 8.3PAYOPayoneer Global Inc.QOC 8.5ORCLOracle CorporationQOC 8.3GOAIEva Live, Inc.QOC 6.8ORIOOrion Digital Corp.QOC 5.4VISMVisium Technologies, Inc.QOC 3.4FTNTFortinet, Inc.QOC 9.7QLYSQualys, Inc.QOC 9.7

Read investment analysis: FIVN · DOX · GEN · TDC · PAYO · ORCL · GOAI · ORIO · VISM · FTNT · QLYS

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to AKAM?

7 companies across all industries closest to AKAM’s Quality of Company score of 8.4/10.

BWMXBetterware de México, S.A.P.I. de C.V.QOC 8.4CHDChurch & Dwight Co., Inc.QOC 8.4OPFIOppFi Inc.QOC 8.4CFRCullen/Frost Bankers, Inc.QOC 8.4CLColgate-Palmolive CompanyQOC 8.4MTDRMatador Resources CompanyQOC 8.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: BWMX · CHD · OPFI · CFR · CL · MTDR · NVDA

Where Does AKAM Sit in CirclFi's Software - Infrastructure Rankings?

AKAM is ranked against every other Software - Infrastructure stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Software - Infrastructure stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Akamai Technologies, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Akamai Technologies, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Akamai Technologies, Inc. (AKAM)'s intrinsic value at $117.87 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $14.42 to $213.97. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $161.48 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is AKAM overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $111.24, 5 of 10 active models suggest AKAM may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $117.87, within 6.0% of the current price of $111.24 — a consensus view that AKAM is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Akamai Technologies, Inc.'s business model in Software - Infrastructure.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.4 mean for AKAM?

Akamai Technologies, Inc.'s QOC of 8.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on AKAM?

CirclFi analyzes AKAM with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on AKAM?

Of the 10 models currently active on AKAM, Markov DDM is the most bullish at $213.97 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $14.42. CirclFi's published fair value for AKAM is the median of that range, $117.87, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 169% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is AKAM a value trap in 2026?

Akamai Technologies, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 37/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Akamai Technologies, Inc. (AKAM) has a median fair value of $117.87 — within 6.0% of the current price of $111.24 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/AKAM/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this AKAM valuation
  • Financial statements: Akamai Technologies, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001086222) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for AKAM as of ; valuations recomputed .

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 10 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on AKAM.

Unlock All 10 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access

6 models hidden for AKAM Unlock All 10 — $39/mo