Matthews International Corporation (MATW) Fair Value 2026

MATW · Conglomerates ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (26/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Matthews International Corporation (MATW) trades at $21.03, versus a $31.56 median fair value across its 7 active models — 50.1% above the current price. QOC: 6.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 26/100 (LOW). 7/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
MATW
Price
$21.03
Quality Score
6.5/10
Value Trap Risk
26/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +415.4% upside with 62% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (7/13) may reduce confidence

Is Matthews International Corporation (MATW) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Matthews International Corporation (MATW) appears undervalued as of : the median of 7 independent fair value estimates is $31.56, 50.1% above the current price of $21.03. Estimates range from $9.01 to $108.38. MATW scores 6.5/10 on fundamental quality and 26/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. MATW’s +50.1% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Conglomerates sector median is -20.0%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Matthews International Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give MATW?

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($21.03)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $27.51 +30.8%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $108.38 +415.4%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $12.00 -42.9%
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What Is MATW's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 7 independent models · $9.01 to $108.38

CirclFi's 7 active models place Matthews International Corporation (MATW) between $9.01 and $108.38 per share, a spread of 315% of the median. The median of that range — $31.56 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for MATW, against a current price of $21.03.

Low · Regime CrossHigh · First Chicago
$9.01median $31.56$108.38
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$9.01
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$108.38
Model agreement5 bullish · 2 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for MATW. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on MATW, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Matthews International Corporation (MATW) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Matthews International Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $31.56. While the stock appears modestly undervalued at $21.03 (implied upside of +50.1%), our analysis suggests a thinner margin of safety across 5 of 7 bullish models. Notably, First Chicago sees the most upside at +415.4% (fair value: $108.38), while Regime Cross is the most conservative at -57.2% ($9.01). The spread between these extremes — +472.5% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About MATW?

7 of 13 models are currently active for MATW. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for MATW is $31.56 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does MATW Rank in Conglomerates?

Among 31 Conglomerates stocks, MATW ranks #14 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.5 indicates above-average quality.

As a manufacturing company, Matthews International Corporation operates in a sector where working capital efficiency is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating MATW should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is MATW a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns MATW a score of 26/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for Matthews International Corporation. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Matthews International Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 6.5/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +472.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every MATW valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across MATW's 7 active models, average confidence is 39%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Matthews International Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Conglomerates Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Conglomerates stocks with 13-model coverage

BOCBoston Omaha CorporationQOC 6.6LGPSLogProstyle Inc.QOC 6.3AIRTAir T, Inc.QOC 6.8CODICompass DiversifiedQOC 6.2BBUCBrookfield Business CorporationQOC 7.1HHSHarte Hanks, Inc.QOC 6.2TUSKMammoth Energy Services, Inc.QOC 5.2SITSSouthern ITS International, Inc.QOC 3.2SEBSeaboard CorporationQOC 8.1VMIValmont Industries, Inc.QOC 9.0OTTROtter Tail CorporationQOC 8.6

Read investment analysis: BOC · LGPS · AIRT · CODI · BBUC · HHS · TUSK · SITS · SEB · VMI · OTTR

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to MATW?

7 companies across all industries closest to MATW’s Quality of Company score of 6.5/10.

AIROAIRO Group Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.5FEFirstEnergy Corp.QOC 6.5MAINMain Street Capital CorporationQOC 6.5INNSummit Hotel Properties, Inc.QOC 6.5XOSXos, Inc.QOC 6.5FIGFigma, Inc.QOC 6.5NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: AIRO · FE · MAIN · INN · XOS · FIG · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Matthews International Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Matthews International Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Matthews International Corporation (MATW)'s intrinsic value at $31.56 — the median of 7 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $9.01 to $108.38. The Quality of Company score is 6.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is MATW overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $21.03, 5 of 7 active models suggest MATW may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 7 fair value estimates is $31.56, 50.1% above the current price of $21.03 — a consensus view that MATW is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Matthews International Corporation's business model in Conglomerates.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.5 mean for MATW?

Matthews International Corporation's QOC of 6.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on MATW?

CirclFi analyzes MATW with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on MATW?

Of the 7 models currently active on MATW, First Chicago is the most bullish at $108.38 per share, and Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bearish at $9.01. CirclFi's published fair value for MATW is the median of that range, $31.56, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 315% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is MATW a value trap in 2026?

Matthews International Corporation's Value Trap score is 26/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Matthews International Corporation (MATW) has a median fair value of $31.56 — 50.1% above the current price of $21.03 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/MATW/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this MATW valuation
  • Financial statements: Matthews International Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000063296) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for MATW as of ; valuations recomputed .

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