Falcon's Beyond Global, Inc. (FBYD) Fair Value 2026

FBYD · Conglomerates ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 5 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (31/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Falcon's Beyond Global, Inc. (FBYD) trades at $9.87, versus a $0.53 median fair value across its 5 active models — 94.6% below the current price. QOC: 5.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 31/100 (LOW). 5/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $0.53.

Key Facts

Ticker
FBYD
Price
$9.87
Quality Score
5.5/10
Value Trap Risk
31/100
Models Active
5/13
Last Updated
Strength: 5 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Falcon's Beyond Global, Inc. (FBYD) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, Falcon's Beyond Global, Inc. (FBYD) appears overvalued as of : the median of 5 independent fair value estimates is $0.53, 94.6% below the current price of $9.87. Estimates range from $0.48 to $0.64. FBYD scores 5.5/10 on fundamental quality and 31/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. FBYD’s -94.6% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Conglomerates sector median is -20.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Falcon's Beyond Global, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give FBYD?

5 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($9.87)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $0.53 -94.6%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $0.55 -94.5%
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What Is FBYD's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 5 independent models · $0.48 to $0.64

CirclFi's 5 active models place Falcon's Beyond Global, Inc. (FBYD) between $0.48 and $0.64 per share, a spread of 31% of the median. The median of that range — $0.53 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for FBYD, against a current price of $9.87.

Low · FTNNHigh · RCMH-DCF
$0.48median $0.53$0.64
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelFTNN Topology$0.48
Most bullish modelRCMH-DCF$0.64
Model agreement0 bullish · 5 bearishtight

The methods largely agree on FBYD. A band this narrow usually means stable, predictable cash flows that every approach reads the same way, and it is the strongest form of confirmation this engine can produce.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on FBYD, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Falcon's Beyond Global, Inc. (FBYD) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Falcon's Beyond Global, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $0.53, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $9.87. With 5 out of 5 models flagging downside (-94.6% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth.

What Do the Models Say About FBYD?

5 of 13 models are currently active for FBYD. All 5 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for FBYD is $0.53 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $0.53 on its own, implying -94.6% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does FBYD Rank in Conglomerates?

Among 31 Conglomerates stocks, FBYD ranks #20 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.5 reflects mixed fundamentals.

As a industrial enterprise, Falcon's Beyond Global, Inc. operates in a sector where aftermarket revenue mix is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating FBYD should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is FBYD a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns FBYD a score of 31/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

5 of 13 models are active for Falcon's Beyond Global, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Falcon's Beyond Global, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 5.5/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

Models cluster within a tight range (+1.6% spread), increasing conviction. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every FBYD valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across FBYD's 5 active models, average confidence is 31%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Falcon's Beyond Global, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Conglomerates Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Conglomerates stocks with 13-model coverage

NNBRNN, Inc.QOC 5.7TUSKMammoth Energy Services, Inc.QOC 5.2TRCTejon Ranch Co.QOC 6.0CIRXCirTran CorporationQOC 5.2HHSHarte Hanks, Inc.QOC 6.2GPUSHyperscale Data, Inc.QOC 5.1TMGITransglobal Management Group, Inc.QOC 4.2HONHoneywell International Inc.QOC 8.3AIRTAir T, Inc.QOC 6.8VMIValmont Industries, Inc.QOC 9.0OTTROtter Tail CorporationQOC 8.6

Read investment analysis: NNBR · TUSK · TRC · CIRX · HHS · GPUS · TMGI · HON · AIRT · VMI · OTTR

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to FBYD?

7 companies across all industries closest to FBYD’s Quality of Company score of 5.5/10.

BALYBally's CorporationQOC 5.5PLTSPlatinum Analytics Cayman LimitedQOC 5.5TOFBTofutti Brands Inc.QOC 5.5SPTYSpecificity, Inc.QOC 5.5JBGSJBG SMITH PropertiesQOC 5.5VERIVeritone, Inc.QOC 5.5NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: BALY · PLTS · TOFB · SPTY · JBGS · VERI · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Falcon's Beyond Global, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Falcon's Beyond Global, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Falcon's Beyond Global, Inc. (FBYD)'s intrinsic value at $0.53 — the median of 5 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $0.48 to $0.64. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $0.53 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 5.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is FBYD overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $9.87, 0 of 5 active models suggest FBYD may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 5 fair value estimates is $0.53, 94.6% below the current price of $9.87 — a consensus view that FBYD is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Falcon's Beyond Global, Inc.'s business model in Conglomerates.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.5 mean for FBYD?

Falcon's Beyond Global, Inc.'s QOC of 5.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on FBYD?

CirclFi analyzes FBYD with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 5 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on FBYD?

Of the 5 models currently active on FBYD, RCMH-DCF is the most bullish at $0.64 per share, and FTNN Topology is the most bearish at $0.48. CirclFi's published fair value for FBYD is the median of that range, $0.53, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 31% of the median — a normal spread for a company of this profile. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is FBYD a value trap in 2026?

Falcon's Beyond Global, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 31/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, Falcon's Beyond Global, Inc. (FBYD) has a median fair value of $0.53 — 94.6% below the current price of $9.87 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/FBYD/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this FBYD valuation
  • Financial statements: Falcon's Beyond Global, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001937987) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for FBYD as of ; valuations recomputed .

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