Mammoth Energy Services, Inc. (TUSK) Fair Value 2026

TUSK · Conglomerates ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 5 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (34/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Mammoth Energy Services, Inc. (TUSK) trades at $3.09, versus a $3.38 median fair value across its 5 active models — 9.3% above the current price. QOC: 5.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 34/100 (LOW). 5/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
TUSK
Price
$3.09
Quality Score
5.2/10
Value Trap Risk
34/100
Models Active
5/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +9.3% upside with 9% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (5/13) may reduce confidence

Is Mammoth Energy Services, Inc. (TUSK) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, Mammoth Energy Services, Inc. (TUSK) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 5 independent fair value estimates is $3.38, within 9.3% of the current price of $3.09. Estimates range from $0.83 to $6.34. TUSK scores 5.2/10 on fundamental quality and 34/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. TUSK’s +9.3% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Conglomerates sector median is -20.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Mammoth Energy Services, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give TUSK?

5 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($3.09)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $3.38 +9.3%
Asset-Based · High Conviction
 $3.34 +8.0%
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What Is TUSK's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 5 independent models · $0.83 to $6.34

CirclFi's 5 active models place Mammoth Energy Services, Inc. (TUSK) between $0.83 and $6.34 per share, a spread of 163% of the median. The median of that range — $3.38 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for TUSK, against a current price of $3.09.

Low · Regime CrossHigh · PWERM
$0.83median $3.38$6.34
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$0.83
Most bullish modelPWERM$6.34
Model agreement4 bullish · 1 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for TUSK. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on TUSK, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Mammoth Energy Services, Inc. (TUSK) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the weight of evidence tilts decidedly bullish for Mammoth Energy Services, Inc.. Trading at $3.09 against an estimated intrinsic value of $3.38, 4 of 5 active models flag meaningful upside of +9.3% at the median. The most optimistic model, PWERM, places fair value at $6.34 (+105.3%), while Regime Cross — the most conservative — estimates $0.83 (-73.3%). This +178.5% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Mammoth Energy Services, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About TUSK?

5 of 13 models are currently active for TUSK. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for TUSK is $3.38 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does TUSK Rank in Conglomerates?

Among 31 Conglomerates stocks, TUSK ranks #21 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.2 reflects mixed fundamentals.

Within the Conglomerates space, Mammoth Energy Services, Inc. competes in an environment where capacity utilization rate often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is TUSK a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns TUSK a score of 34/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

5 of 13 models are active for Mammoth Energy Services, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Mammoth Energy Services, Inc. is rated at 5.2/10. This moderate-tier score shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +178.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every TUSK valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across TUSK's 5 active models, average confidence is 29%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Mammoth Energy Services, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Conglomerates Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Conglomerates stocks with 13-model coverage

FBYDFalcon's Beyond Global, Inc.QOC 5.5CIRXCirTran CorporationQOC 5.2NNBRNN, Inc.QOC 5.7GPUSHyperscale Data, Inc.QOC 5.1TRCTejon Ranch Co.QOC 6.0FIPFTAI Infrastructure Inc.QOC 5.0AIAIAIAI Holdings CorporationQOC 3.4RCMTRCM Technologies, Inc.QOC 8.3BOCBoston Omaha CorporationQOC 6.6VMIValmont Industries, Inc.QOC 9.0OTTROtter Tail CorporationQOC 8.6

Read investment analysis: FBYD · CIRX · NNBR · GPUS · TRC · FIP · AIAI · RCMT · BOC · VMI · OTTR

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to TUSK?

7 companies across all industries closest to TUSK’s Quality of Company score of 5.2/10.

SKYISky Century Investment, Inc.QOC 5.2ASTCAstrotech CorporationQOC 5.2WASTWaste Energy Corp.QOC 5.2IDAIT Stamp Inc.QOC 5.2CNETZW Data Action Technologies Inc.QOC 5.2REEDReed's, Inc.QOC 5.2NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: SKYI · ASTC · WAST · IDAI · CNET · REED · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Mammoth Energy Services, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Mammoth Energy Services, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Mammoth Energy Services, Inc. (TUSK)'s intrinsic value at $3.38 — the median of 5 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $0.83 to $6.34. The Quality of Company score is 5.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is TUSK overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $3.09, 4 of 5 active models suggest TUSK may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 5 fair value estimates is $3.38, within 9.3% of the current price of $3.09 — a consensus view that TUSK is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Mammoth Energy Services, Inc.'s business model in Conglomerates.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.2 mean for TUSK?

Mammoth Energy Services, Inc.'s QOC of 5.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on TUSK?

CirclFi analyzes TUSK with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 5 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on TUSK?

Of the 5 models currently active on TUSK, PWERM is the most bullish at $6.34 per share, and Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bearish at $0.83. CirclFi's published fair value for TUSK is the median of that range, $3.38, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 163% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is TUSK a value trap in 2026?

Mammoth Energy Services, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 34/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, Mammoth Energy Services, Inc. (TUSK) has a median fair value of $3.38 — within 9.3% of the current price of $3.09 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/TUSK/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this TUSK valuation
  • Financial statements: Mammoth Energy Services, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001679268) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for TUSK as of ; valuations recomputed .

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