Mammoth Energy Services, Inc. (TUSK) Fair Value 2026

TUSK · Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (32/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Mammoth Energy Services, Inc. (TUSK) trades at $2.84. QOC: 5.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 32/100 (LOW). 10/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
TUSK
Price
$2.84
Quality Score
5.5/10
Value Trap Risk
32/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +452.7% upside with 2% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (10/13) may reduce confidence

Is Mammoth Energy Services, Inc. (TUSK) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Mammoth Energy Services, Inc. (TUSK) appears undervalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $3.85, 35.5% above the current price of $2.84. Estimates range from $1.03 to $16.10. TUSK scores 5.5/10 on fundamental quality and 32/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Mammoth Energy Services, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.84)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
 $9.14 +221.8%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $15.70 +452.7%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
 $3.33 +17.4%
Dynamic NAV
Medium Conviction
 $3.81 +34.2%

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What Is Mammoth Energy Services, Inc. (TUSK) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the weight of evidence tilts decidedly bullish for Mammoth Energy Services, Inc.. Trading at $2.84 against an estimated intrinsic value of $6.53, 8 of 10 active models flag meaningful upside of +130.1% on average. The most optimistic model, FTNN, places fair value at $16.10 (+467.0%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $1.03 (-63.9%). This +530.9% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Mammoth Energy Services, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About TUSK?

10 of 13 models are currently active for TUSK. Of these, 9 models suggest upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does TUSK Rank in Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC?

Among 20 Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC stocks, TUSK ranks #19 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.5 reflects mixed fundamentals.

Within the Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC space, Mammoth Energy Services, Inc. competes in an environment where production decline rate often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is TUSK a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns TUSK a score of 32/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Mammoth Energy Services, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Mammoth Energy Services, Inc. is rated at 5.5/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +530.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every TUSK valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across TUSK's 10 active models, average confidence is 25%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Mammoth Energy Services, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC stocks with 13-model coverage

CLBCore Laboratories Inc.QOC 9.7LBRTLiberty Energy Inc.QOC 9.3NESRNational Energy Services ReunitQOC 9.2OIIOceaneering International, Inc.QOC 9.1HALHalliburton CompanyQOC 8.9NGSNatural Gas Services Group, IncQOC 8.8RNGRRanger Energy Services, Inc.QOC 8.6RESRPC, Inc.QOC 8.5

Read investment analysis: CLB · LBRT · NESR · OII · HAL

Frequently Asked Questions About Mammoth Energy Services, Inc.

What is Mammoth Energy Services, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Mammoth Energy Services, Inc. (TUSK) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value. The Quality of Company score is 5.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is TUSK overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.84, 9 of 10 active models suggest TUSK may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $3.85, 35.5% above the current price of $2.84 — a consensus view that TUSK is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Mammoth Energy Services, Inc.'s business model in Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.5 mean for TUSK?

Mammoth Energy Services, Inc.'s QOC of 5.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on TUSK?

CirclFi analyzes TUSK with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is TUSK a value trap in 2026?

Mammoth Energy Services, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 32/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Mammoth Energy Services, Inc. (TUSK) has a median fair value of $3.85 — 35.5% above the current price of $2.84 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/TUSK/ · Methodology

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