AEye, Inc. (LIDR) Fair Value 2026

LIDR · Software - Infrastructure ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (34/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, AEye, Inc. (LIDR) trades at $1.15, versus a $0.66 median fair value across its 2 active models — 42.9% below the current price. QOC: 5.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 34/100 (LOW). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
LIDR
Price
$1.15
Quality Score
5.5/10
Value Trap Risk
34/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: Dynamic NAV suggests +9.1% upside with 51% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (2/13) may reduce confidence

Is AEye, Inc. (LIDR) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, AEye, Inc. (LIDR) appears overvalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $0.66, 42.9% below the current price of $1.15. Estimates range from $0.06 to $1.25. LIDR scores 5.5/10 on fundamental quality and 34/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. LIDR’s -42.9% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Software - Infrastructure sector median is -23.2%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy AEye, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give LIDR?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.15)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $0.06 -95.0%
Asset-Based · High Conviction
 $1.25 +9.1%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is AEye, Inc. (LIDR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, AEye, Inc. presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $1.15. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $0.66 (-42.9% median upside), masking a wide model spread between the 1 bullish models and 1 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: Dynamic NAV targets $1.25 (+9.1%), versus ML-RIV at $0.06 (-95.0%). This +104.1% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About LIDR?

2 of 13 models are currently active for LIDR. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for LIDR is $0.66 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does LIDR Rank in Software - Infrastructure?

Among 189 Software - Infrastructure stocks, LIDR ranks #119 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.5 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Software - Infrastructure Stocks →

As a digital enterprise, AEye, Inc. operates in a sector where rule of 40 score is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating LIDR should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is LIDR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns LIDR a score of 34/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for AEye, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, AEye, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 5.5/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +104.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every LIDR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across LIDR's 2 active models, average confidence is 51%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy AEye, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Software - Infrastructure Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Software - Infrastructure stocks with 13-model coverage

AUIDauthID Inc.QOC 5.5VERIVeritone, Inc.QOC 5.5DTSSDatasea Intelligent Technology Ltd.QOC 5.6AISPAirship AI Holdings, Inc.QOC 5.5VHCVirnetX Holding CorporationQOC 5.6INTZIntrusion Inc.QOC 5.5EXYNExyn Technologies, Inc.QOC 3.8NTCTNetScout Systems, Inc.QOC 8.6ZETAZeta Global Holdings Corp.QOC 7.1FTNTFortinet, Inc.QOC 9.7QLYSQualys, Inc.QOC 9.7

Read investment analysis: AUID · VERI · DTSS · AISP · VHC · INTZ · EXYN · NTCT · ZETA · FTNT · QLYS

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to LIDR?

7 companies across all industries closest to LIDR’s Quality of Company score of 5.5/10.

PXLWPixelworks, Inc.QOC 5.5WWWW International, Inc.QOC 5.5SKYXSKYX Platforms Corp.QOC 5.5LSTALisata Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 5.5TLYSTilly's, Inc.QOC 5.5AURAurora Innovation, Inc.QOC 5.5NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: PXLW · WW · SKYX · LSTA · TLYS · AUR · NVDA

Where Does LIDR Sit in CirclFi's Software - Infrastructure Rankings?

LIDR is ranked against every other Software - Infrastructure stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Software - Infrastructure stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About AEye, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is AEye, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts AEye, Inc. (LIDR)'s intrinsic value at $0.66 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $0.06 to $1.25. The Quality of Company score is 5.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is LIDR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.15, 1 of 2 active models suggest LIDR may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $0.66, 42.9% below the current price of $1.15 — a consensus view that LIDR is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits AEye, Inc.'s business model in Software - Infrastructure.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.5 mean for LIDR?

AEye, Inc.'s QOC of 5.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on LIDR?

CirclFi analyzes LIDR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is LIDR a value trap in 2026?

AEye, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 34/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, AEye, Inc. (LIDR) has a median fair value of $0.66 — 42.9% below the current price of $1.15 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/LIDR/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this LIDR valuation
  • Financial statements: AEye, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001818644) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for LIDR as of ; valuations recomputed .