What Is Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. (MPAA) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. at its current price of $14.36. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $13.50 (-6.0% average return), with 7 models flagging overvaluation risk. Model dispersion is worth noting: First Chicago targets $34.96 (+143.5%), versus Regime Cross at $2.72 (-81.0%). This +224.5% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About MPAA?
12 of 13 models are currently active for MPAA. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates MPAA's intrinsic value at $21.50, implying +49.7% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does MPAA Rank in Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories?
Among 31 Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories stocks, MPAA ranks #7 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.5 places MPAA in the top tier.
As a transportation company, Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. operates in a sector where fleet electrification pace is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating MPAA should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is MPAA a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns MPAA a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Motorcar Parts of America, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Motorcar Parts of America, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 8.5/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +224.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every MPAA valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across MPAA's 12 active models, average confidence is 55%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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