Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD) Fair Value 2026

MOD · Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD) trades at $234.19, approximately 2451% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $9.18. QOC: 8.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
MOD
Price
$234.19
Quality Score
8.6/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.6/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($234.19)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$9.18 -96.1%
Earnings Power Value
Low Conviction
$3.89 -98.3%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$29.86 -87.3%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$81.60 -65.2%

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What Is Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Modine Manufacturing Company's intrinsic value is estimated at $51.18. Trading at its current price of $234.19, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 12 of 13 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -78.1%. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $296.41 (+26.6%), versus Markov DDM at $3.10 (-98.7%). This +125.2% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About MOD?

13 of 13 models are currently active for MOD. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 12 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates MOD's intrinsic value at $9.18, implying -96.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does MOD Rank in Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories?

Among 31 Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories stocks, MOD ranks #6 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.6 places MOD in the top tier.

Modine Manufacturing Company's positioning within the Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories segment means that average transaction price (ATP) plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including autonomous driving technology — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is MOD a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns MOD a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for Modine Manufacturing Company. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Modine Manufacturing Company scores 8.6 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +125.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every MOD valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across MOD's 13 active models, average confidence is 45%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Modine Manufacturing Company Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories stocks with 13-model coverage

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Frequently Asked Questions About Modine Manufacturing Company

What is Modine Manufacturing Company's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $9.18. The Quality of Company score is 8.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is MOD overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $234.19, 1 of 13 active models suggest MOD may be undervalued, while 12 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Modine Manufacturing Company's business model in Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.6 mean for MOD?

Modine Manufacturing Company's QOC of 8.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on MOD?

CirclFi analyzes MOD with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is MOD a value trap in 2026?

Modine Manufacturing Company's Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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