Masco Corporation (MAS) Fair Value 2026

MAS · Building Products & Equipment ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Masco Corporation (MAS) trades at $72.79, versus a $52.08 median fair value across its 9 active models — 28.5% below the current price. QOC: 8.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 9/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $50.13.

Key Facts

Ticker
MAS
Price
$72.79
Quality Score
8.4/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.4/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Masco Corporation (MAS) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Masco Corporation (MAS) appears overvalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $52.08, 28.5% below the current price of $72.79. Estimates range from $16.42 to $96.68. MAS scores 8.4/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. MAS’s -28.5% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Building Products & Equipment sector median is -32.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Masco Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give MAS?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($72.79)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $50.13 -31.1%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $37.41 -48.6%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $52.08 -28.5%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $16.42 -77.4%
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What Is MAS's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $16.42 to $96.68

CirclFi's 9 active models place Masco Corporation (MAS) between $16.42 and $96.68 per share, a spread of 154% of the median. The median of that range — $52.08 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for MAS, against a current price of $72.79.

Low · EROICHigh · FTNN
$16.42median $52.08$96.68
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEROIC Spread$16.42
Most bullish modelFTNN Topology$96.68
Model agreement3 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for MAS. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on MAS, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Masco Corporation (MAS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Masco Corporation at its current price of $72.79. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $52.08 (-28.5% vs price), with 6 models flagging overvaluation risk. The most optimistic model, FTNN, places fair value at $96.68 (+32.8%), while EROIC — the most conservative — estimates $16.42 (-77.4%). This +110.3% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Masco Corporation's intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About MAS?

9 of 13 models are currently active for MAS. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for MAS is $52.08 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $50.13 on its own, implying -31.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does MAS Rank in Building Products & Equipment?

Among 38 Building Products & Equipment stocks, MAS ranks #8 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.4 places MAS in the top tier.

Within the Building Products & Equipment space, Masco Corporation competes in an environment where capacity utilization rate often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is MAS a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns MAS a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Masco Corporation. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Masco Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 8.4/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +110.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every MAS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across MAS's 9 active models, average confidence is 52%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Masco Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Building Products & Equipment Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Building Products & Equipment stocks with 13-model coverage

WMSAdvanced Drainage Systems, Inc.QOC 8.7JCIJohnson Controls International plcQOC 8.3LMBLimbach Holdings, Inc.QOC 8.8ARLOArlo Technologies, Inc.QOC 8.3SPXCSPX Technologies, Inc.QOC 8.9TREXTrex Company, Inc.QOC 8.1ROCKGibraltar Industries, Inc.QOC 7.7NXQuanex Building Products CorporationQOC 6.8EVOHEvoAir Holdings Inc.QOC 4.4TTTrane Technologies plcQOC 9.4LIILennox International Inc.QOC 9.4

Read investment analysis: WMS · JCI · LMB · ARLO · SPXC · TREX · ROCK · NX · EVOH · TT · LII

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to MAS?

7 companies across all industries closest to MAS’s Quality of Company score of 8.4/10.

ROKURoku, Inc.QOC 8.4CCBGCapital City Bank Group, Inc.QOC 8.4PBFSPioneer Bancorp, Inc.QOC 8.4DOXAmdocs LimitedQOC 8.4WMTWalmart Inc.QOC 8.4OBKOrigin Bancorp, Inc.QOC 8.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: ROKU · CCBG · PBFS · DOX · WMT · OBK · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Masco Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Masco Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Masco Corporation (MAS)'s intrinsic value at $52.08 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $16.42 to $96.68. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $50.13 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is MAS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $72.79, 3 of 9 active models suggest MAS may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $52.08, 28.5% below the current price of $72.79 — a consensus view that MAS is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Masco Corporation's business model in Building Products & Equipment.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.4 mean for MAS?

Masco Corporation's QOC of 8.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on MAS?

CirclFi analyzes MAS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on MAS?

Of the 9 models currently active on MAS, FTNN Topology is the most bullish at $96.68 per share, and EROIC Spread is the most bearish at $16.42. CirclFi's published fair value for MAS is the median of that range, $52.08, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 154% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is MAS a value trap in 2026?

Masco Corporation's Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Masco Corporation (MAS) has a median fair value of $52.08 — 28.5% below the current price of $72.79 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/MAS/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this MAS valuation
  • Financial statements: Masco Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000062996) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for MAS as of ; valuations recomputed .

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