Madison Air Solutions Corporation (MAIR) Fair Value 2026

MAIR · Building Products & Equipment ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 1 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Madison Air Solutions Corporation (MAIR) trades at $27.17. QOC: 4.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 1/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
MAIR
Price
$27.17
Quality Score
4.8/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
1/13
Last Updated
Strength: Regime Cross-Sectional suggests +60.5% upside with 12% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 4.8/10 signals weak fundamentals

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give MAIR?

1 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($27.17)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Relative · Low Conviction
 $43.60 +60.5%

All Models Active

All 1 models are displayed above.

What Is Madison Air Solutions Corporation (MAIR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the weight of evidence tilts decidedly bullish for Madison Air Solutions Corporation. Trading at $27.17 against an estimated intrinsic value of $43.60, 1 of 1 active models flag meaningful upside of +60.5% at the median.

What Do the Models Say About MAIR?

1 of 13 models are currently active for MAIR. All 1 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does MAIR Rank in Building Products & Equipment?

Among 38 Building Products & Equipment stocks, MAIR ranks #34 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.8 reflects mixed fundamentals.

Within the Building Products & Equipment space, Madison Air Solutions Corporation competes in an environment where capacity utilization rate often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is MAIR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns MAIR a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

1 of 13 models are active for Madison Air Solutions Corporation. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Madison Air Solutions Corporation is rated at 4.8/10. This moderate-tier score shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every MAIR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across MAIR's 1 active models, average confidence is 12%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Madison Air Solutions Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Building Products & Equipment Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Building Products & Equipment stocks with 13-model coverage

BGMSBio Green Med Solution, Inc.QOC 4.9AEHLAntelope Enterprise Holdings LimitedQOC 4.7AIRJAirJoule Technologies CorporationQOC 5.1EVOHEvoAir Holdings Inc.QOC 4.4SNTLSentinel Holdings Ltd.QOC 5.2CSTECaesarstone Ltd.QOC 3.0SPXCSPX Technologies, Inc.QOC 8.9APOGApogee Enterprises, Inc.QOC 7.8BLDRBuilders FirstSource, Inc.QOC 7.3TTTrane Technologies plcQOC 9.4LIILennox International Inc.QOC 9.4

Read investment analysis: BGMS · AEHL · AIRJ · EVOH · SNTL · CSTE · SPXC · APOG · BLDR · TT · LII

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to MAIR?

7 companies across all industries closest to MAIR’s Quality of Company score of 4.8/10.

MPLTMapLight Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 4.8BLWBlackRock Limited Duration Income TrustQOC 4.8VVRInvesco Senior Income TrustQOC 4.8CYPHCypherpunk Technologies Inc.QOC 4.8TPTSTPTSQOC 4.8KBDCKayne Anderson BDC, Inc.QOC 4.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: MPLT · BLW · VVR · CYPH · TPTS · KBDC · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Madison Air Solutions Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Madison Air Solutions Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for Madison Air Solutions Corporation (MAIR). The Quality of Company score is 4.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is MAIR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $27.17, 1 of 1 active models suggest MAIR may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Madison Air Solutions Corporation's business model in Building Products & Equipment.

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.8 mean for MAIR?

Madison Air Solutions Corporation's QOC of 4.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on MAIR?

CirclFi analyzes MAIR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 1 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is MAIR a value trap in 2026?

Madison Air Solutions Corporation's Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns Madison Air Solutions Corporation (MAIR) a Quality of Company score of 4.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/MAIR/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this MAIR valuation
  • Financial statements: Madison Air Solutions Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0002098430) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for MAIR as of ; valuations recomputed .