JELD-WEN Holding, Inc. (JELD) Fair Value 2026

JELD · Millwood, Veneer, Plywood, & Structural Wood Members ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 3 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (14/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, JELD-WEN Holding, Inc. (JELD) trades at $1.19, approximately 64% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $3.25. QOC: 5.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 14/100 (SAFE). 3/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
JELD
Price
$1.19
Quality Score
5.1/10
Value Trap Risk
14/100
Models Active
3/13
Last Updated
Strength: ML-RIV suggests +179.2% upside with 49% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (3/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

3 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.19)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$3.25 +174.0%
ML-RIV
Medium Conviction
$3.31 +179.2%
Markov DDM
Medium Conviction
$1.60 +35.2%

All Models Active

All 3 models are displayed above.

What Is JELD-WEN Holding, Inc. (JELD) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, JELD-WEN Holding, Inc. is potentially undervalued at its current price of $1.19. Based on our 13-model framework, JELD-WEN Holding, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $2.72 — representing +129.5% implied upside — with 3 out of 3 active models confirming this thesis. Model dispersion is worth noting: ML-RIV targets $3.31 (+179.2%), versus Markov DDM at $1.60 (+35.2%). This +144.0% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About JELD?

3 of 13 models are currently active for JELD. All 3 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. The Bayesian DCF estimates JELD's intrinsic value at $3.25, implying +174.0% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does JELD Rank in Millwood, Veneer, Plywood, & Structural Wood Members?

Among 2 Millwood, Veneer, Plywood, & Structural Wood Members stocks, JELD ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.1 reflects mixed fundamentals.

JELD-WEN Holding, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is JELD a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns JELD a score of 14/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

3 of 13 models are active for JELD-WEN Holding, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, JELD-WEN Holding, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 5.1/10. This mixed score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +144.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every JELD valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across JELD's 3 active models, average confidence is 49%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy JELD-WEN Holding, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

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Frequently Asked Questions About JELD-WEN Holding, Inc.

What is JELD-WEN Holding, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, JELD-WEN Holding, Inc. (JELD) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $3.25. The Quality of Company score is 5.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is JELD overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.19, 3 of 3 active models suggest JELD may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits JELD-WEN Holding, Inc.'s business model in Millwood, Veneer, Plywood, & Structural Wood Members.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.1 mean for JELD?

JELD-WEN Holding, Inc.'s QOC of 5.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on JELD?

CirclFi analyzes JELD with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 3 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is JELD a value trap in 2026?

JELD-WEN Holding, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 14/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →