What Is Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Carrier Global Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $65.39. Trading at its current price of $68.62, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 9 of 12 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -4.7%. Model dispersion is worth noting: Markov DDM targets $289.45 (+321.8%), versus EROIC at $8.53 (-87.6%). This +409.4% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About CARR?
12 of 13 models are currently active for CARR. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates CARR's intrinsic value at $10.35, implying -84.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does CARR Rank in Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip?
Among 5 Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip stocks, CARR ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.0 places CARR in the top tier.
Carrier Global Corporation operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is CARR a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for CARR. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Carrier Global Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Carrier Global Corporation scores 8.0 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +409.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every CARR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across CARR's 12 active models, average confidence is 46%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
Buy with Gumroad