What Is Johnson Controls International (JCI) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Johnson Controls International 's intrinsic value is estimated at $49.32. Trading at its current price of $143.93, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 12 of 13 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -65.7%. Notably, PWERM sees the most upside at -1.1% (fair value: $142.30), while EPV is the most conservative at -91.2% ($12.67). The spread between these extremes — +90.1% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About JCI?
13 of 13 models are currently active for JCI. All 13 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. The Bayesian DCF estimates JCI's intrinsic value at $17.34, implying -88.0% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does JCI Rank in Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip?
Among 5 Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip stocks, JCI ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.9 indicates above-average quality.
Johnson Controls International operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is JCI a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns JCI a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Johnson Controls International . Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Johnson Controls International earns a quality score of 7.9/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +90.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every JCI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across JCI's 13 active models, average confidence is 52%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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