Tecogen Inc. (TGEN) Fair Value 2026

TGEN · Electrical Equipment & Parts ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (42/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Tecogen Inc. (TGEN) trades at $3.17, versus a $4.17 median fair value across its 2 active models — 31.4% above the current price. QOC: 6.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 42/100 (WARN). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
TGEN
Price
$3.17
Quality Score
6.2/10
Value Trap Risk
42/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: Regime Cross-Sectional suggests +64.2% upside with 48% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 42 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is Tecogen Inc. (TGEN) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Tecogen Inc. (TGEN) appears undervalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $4.17, 31.4% above the current price of $3.17. Estimates range from $3.13 to $5.20. TGEN scores 6.2/10 on fundamental quality and 42/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. TGEN’s +31.4% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Electrical Equipment & Parts sector median is -34.9%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Tecogen Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give TGEN?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($3.17)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Relative · Medium Conviction
 $5.20 +64.2%
Relative · Low Conviction
 $3.13 -1.3%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Tecogen Inc. (TGEN) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Tecogen Inc. presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $3.17. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $4.17 (+31.4% median upside), masking a wide model spread between the 1 bullish models and 0 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $5.20 (+64.2%), versus FTNN at $3.13 (-1.3%). This +65.4% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About TGEN?

2 of 13 models are currently active for TGEN. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for TGEN is $4.17 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does TGEN Rank in Electrical Equipment & Parts?

Among 57 Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, TGEN ranks #22 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.2 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Electrical Equipment & Parts Stocks →

Tecogen Inc.'s positioning within the Electrical Equipment & Parts segment means that customer growth rate plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including constructive regulatory environment — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is TGEN a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns TGEN a score of 42/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Tecogen Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Tecogen Inc. earns a quality score of 6.2/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency. Our Value Trap detector shows moderate caution signals worth monitoring.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +65.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every TGEN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across TGEN's 2 active models, average confidence is 28%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Tecogen Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Electrical Equipment & Parts Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks with 13-model coverage

AMPXAmprius Technologies, Inc.QOC 6.3FLUXFlux Power Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.2FCELFuelCell Energy, Inc.QOC 6.4OESXOrion Energy Systems, Inc.QOC 6.1PPSIPioneer Power Solutions, Inc.QOC 6.6EAFGrafTech International Ltd.QOC 5.5XPONExpion360 Inc.QOC 5.2CHEVCharging Robotics Inc.QOC 3.0ENSEnerSysQOC 8.8POWLPowell Industries, Inc.QOC 9.6VRTVertiv Holdings CoQOC 9.2

Read investment analysis: AMPX · FLUX · FCEL · OESX · PPSI · EAF · XPON · CHEV · ENS · POWL · VRT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to TGEN?

7 companies across all industries closest to TGEN’s Quality of Company score of 6.2/10.

SANGSangoma Technologies CorporationQOC 6.2SYPRSypris Solutions, Inc.QOC 6.2FNKOFunko, Inc.QOC 6.2SSPThe E.W. Scripps CompanyQOC 6.2SMTKSmartKem, Inc.QOC 6.2NWLNewell Brands Inc.QOC 6.2NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: SANG · SYPR · FNKO · SSP · SMTK · NWL · NVDA

Where Does TGEN Sit in CirclFi's Electrical Equipment & Parts Rankings?

TGEN is ranked against every other Electrical Equipment & Parts stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Tecogen Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Tecogen Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Tecogen Inc. (TGEN)'s intrinsic value at $4.17 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $3.13 to $5.20. The Quality of Company score is 6.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is TGEN overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $3.17, 1 of 2 active models suggest TGEN may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $4.17, 31.4% above the current price of $3.17 — a consensus view that TGEN is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Tecogen Inc.'s business model in Electrical Equipment & Parts.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.2 mean for TGEN?

Tecogen Inc.'s QOC of 6.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on TGEN?

CirclFi analyzes TGEN with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is TGEN a value trap in 2026?

Tecogen Inc.'s Value Trap score is 42/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Tecogen Inc. (TGEN) has a median fair value of $4.17 — 31.4% above the current price of $3.17 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/TGEN/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this TGEN valuation
  • Financial statements: Tecogen Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001537435) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for TGEN as of ; valuations recomputed .