What Is Orion Energy Systems, Inc. (OESX) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Orion Energy Systems, Inc. at its current price of $10.28. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $8.99 (-12.6% average return), with 8 models flagging overvaluation risk. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +203.8% (fair value: $31.23), while EPV is the most conservative at -87.4% ($1.29). The spread between these extremes — +291.3% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About OESX?
12 of 13 models are currently active for OESX. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates OESX's intrinsic value at $1.32, implying -87.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does OESX Rank in Electric Lighting & Wiring Equipment?
Among 7 Electric Lighting & Wiring Equipment stocks, OESX ranks #5 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.0 indicates above-average quality.
As a regulated utility, Orion Energy Systems, Inc. operates in a sector where regulatory lag is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating OESX should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is OESX a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns OESX a score of 24/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Orion Energy Systems, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Orion Energy Systems, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 6.0/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +291.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every OESX valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across OESX's 12 active models, average confidence is 36%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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