BGSF, Inc. (BGSF) Fair Value 2026

BGSF · Services-Help Supply Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (20/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, BGSF, Inc. (BGSF) trades at $5.66, approximately 63% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $15.48. QOC: 6.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 20/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
BGSF
Price
$5.66
Quality Score
6.4/10
Value Trap Risk
20/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +173.7% upside with 61% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (12/13) may reduce confidence

Is BGSF, Inc. (BGSF) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, BGSF, Inc. (BGSF) appears undervalued as of : the median of 12 independent fair value estimates is $12.54, 121.8% above the current price of $5.66. Estimates range from $2.97 to $29.75. BGSF scores 6.4/10 on fundamental quality and 20/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy BGSF, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($5.66)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
 $15.48 +173.7%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $15.19 +168.7%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
 $7.23 +27.9%
Markov DDM
High Conviction
 $15.13 +167.6%

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What Is BGSF, Inc. (BGSF) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, BGSF, Inc. is potentially undervalued at its current price of $5.66. Based on our 13-model framework, BGSF, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $12.16 — representing +115.0% implied upside — with 10 out of 12 active models confirming this thesis. Model dispersion is worth noting: RCMH-DCF targets $29.75 (+426.1%), versus ML-RIV at $2.97 (-47.4%). This +473.5% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About BGSF?

12 of 13 models are currently active for BGSF. Of these, 10 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates BGSF's intrinsic value at $15.48, implying +173.7% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does BGSF Rank in Services-Help Supply Services?

Among 17 Services-Help Supply Services stocks, BGSF ranks #12 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.4 indicates above-average quality.

BGSF, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is BGSF a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns BGSF a score of 20/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for BGSF, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, BGSF, Inc. earns a quality score of 6.4/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +473.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every BGSF valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across BGSF's 12 active models, average confidence is 34%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy BGSF, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Services-Help Supply Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Services-Help Supply Services stocks with 13-model coverage

HQIHireQuest, Inc.QOC 9.2RCMTRCM Technologies, Inc.QOC 9.0KFRCKforce, Inc.QOC 8.3RHIRobert Half Inc.QOC 7.7MANManpowerGroupQOC 7.5NSPInsperity, Inc.QOC 7.4CCRNCross Country Healthcare, Inc.QOC 7.3BBSIBarrett Business Services, Inc.QOC 6.9

Read investment analysis: HQI · RCMT · KFRC · RHI · MAN

Frequently Asked Questions About BGSF, Inc.

What is BGSF, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, BGSF, Inc. (BGSF) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $15.48. The Quality of Company score is 6.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is BGSF overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $5.66, 10 of 12 active models suggest BGSF may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 12 fair value estimates is $12.54, 121.8% above the current price of $5.66 — a consensus view that BGSF is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits BGSF, Inc.'s business model in Services-Help Supply Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.4 mean for BGSF?

BGSF, Inc.'s QOC of 6.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on BGSF?

CirclFi analyzes BGSF with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is BGSF a value trap in 2026?

BGSF, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 20/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, BGSF, Inc. (BGSF) has a median fair value of $12.54 — 121.8% above the current price of $5.66 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/BGSF/ · Methodology

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