Barrett Business Services, Inc. (BBSI) Fair Value 2026

BBSI · Staffing & Employment Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Barrett Business Services, Inc. (BBSI) trades at $34.15, versus a $20.75 median fair value across its 11 active models — 39.2% below the current price. QOC: 8.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $13.67.

Key Facts

Ticker
BBSI
Price
$34.15
Quality Score
8.6/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +106.7% upside with 60% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Barrett Business Services, Inc. (BBSI) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Barrett Business Services, Inc. (BBSI) appears overvalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $20.75, 39.2% below the current price of $34.15. Estimates range from $7.32 to $70.57. BBSI scores 8.6/10 on fundamental quality and 18/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. BBSI’s -39.2% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Barrett Business Services, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give BBSI?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($34.15)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $13.67 -60.0%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $20.75 -39.2%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $24.05 -29.6%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $70.57 +106.7%
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What Is BBSI's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $7.32 to $70.57

CirclFi's 11 active models place Barrett Business Services, Inc. (BBSI) between $7.32 and $70.57 per share, a spread of 305% of the median. The median of that range — $20.75 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for BBSI, against a current price of $34.15.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · First Chicago
$7.32median $20.75$70.57
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$7.32
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$70.57
Model agreement4 bullish · 7 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for BBSI. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on BBSI, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Barrett Business Services, Inc. (BBSI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Barrett Business Services, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $20.75. Trading at $34.15, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -39.2%), as 7 of 11 models suggest limited further upside. The most optimistic model, First Chicago, places fair value at $70.57 (+106.7%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $7.32 (-78.6%). This +185.2% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Barrett Business Services, Inc.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About BBSI?

11 of 13 models are currently active for BBSI. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for BBSI is $20.75 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $13.67 on its own, implying -60.0% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does BBSI Rank in Staffing & Employment Services?

Among 17 Staffing & Employment Services stocks, BBSI ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.6 places BBSI in the top tier.

Barrett Business Services, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is BBSI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns BBSI a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Barrett Business Services, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Barrett Business Services, Inc. scores 8.6 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +185.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every BBSI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across BBSI's 11 active models, average confidence is 52%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Barrett Business Services, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Staffing & Employment Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Staffing & Employment Services stocks with 13-model coverage

JOBGEE Group Inc.QOC 4.9KFYKorn FerryQOC 8.6CIRCCircle8 Group, Inc.QOC 5.0HQIHireQuest, Inc.QOC 8.1RLBYReliability IncorporatedQOC 5.6KFRCKforce Inc.QOC 7.9TNETTriNet Group, Inc.QOC 7.7NSPInsperity, Inc.QOC 6.7IPDNProfessional Diversity Network, Inc.QOC 5.9

Read investment analysis: JOB · KFY · CIRC · HQI · RLBY · KFRC · TNET · NSP · IPDN

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to BBSI?

6 companies across all industries closest to BBSI’s Quality of Company score of 8.6/10.

CRAICRA International, Inc.QOC 8.6NGVCNatural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.QOC 8.6VMCVulcan Materials CompanyQOC 8.6TCBSTexas Community Bancshares, Inc.QOC 8.6MORNMorningstar, Inc.QOC 8.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CRAI · NGVC · VMC · TCBS · MORN · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Barrett Business Services, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Barrett Business Services, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Barrett Business Services, Inc. (BBSI)'s intrinsic value at $20.75 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $7.32 to $70.57. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $13.67 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is BBSI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $34.15, 4 of 11 active models suggest BBSI may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $20.75, 39.2% below the current price of $34.15 — a consensus view that BBSI is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Barrett Business Services, Inc.'s business model in Staffing & Employment Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.6 mean for BBSI?

Barrett Business Services, Inc.'s QOC of 8.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on BBSI?

CirclFi analyzes BBSI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on BBSI?

Of the 11 models currently active on BBSI, First Chicago is the most bullish at $70.57 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $7.32. CirclFi's published fair value for BBSI is the median of that range, $20.75, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 305% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is BBSI a value trap in 2026?

Barrett Business Services, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Barrett Business Services, Inc. (BBSI) has a median fair value of $20.75 — 39.2% below the current price of $34.15 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/BBSI/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this BBSI valuation
  • Financial statements: Barrett Business Services, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000902791) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for BBSI as of ; valuations recomputed .

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