ManpowerGroup Inc. (MAN) Fair Value 2026

MAN · Staffing & Employment Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, ManpowerGroup Inc. (MAN) trades at $62.21, versus a $88.07 median fair value across its 10 active models — 41.6% above the current price. QOC: 6.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
MAN
Price
$62.21
Quality Score
6.4/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +131.0% upside with 60% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (10/13) may reduce confidence

Is ManpowerGroup Inc. (MAN) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, ManpowerGroup Inc. (MAN) appears undervalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $88.07, 41.6% above the current price of $62.21. Estimates range from $23.78 to $161.32. MAN scores 6.4/10 on fundamental quality and 18/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. MAN’s +41.6% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy ManpowerGroup Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give MAN?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($62.21)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $49.43 -20.5%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $81.00 +30.2%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $143.71 +131.0%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $44.78 -28.0%
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What Is MAN's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $23.78 to $161.32

CirclFi's 10 active models place ManpowerGroup Inc. (MAN) between $23.78 and $161.32 per share, a spread of 156% of the median. The median of that range — $88.07 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for MAN, against a current price of $62.21.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · Regime Cross
$23.78median $88.07$161.32
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$23.78
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$161.32
Model agreement6 bullish · 4 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for MAN. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on MAN, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is ManpowerGroup Inc. (MAN) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, ManpowerGroup Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $88.07. While the stock appears modestly undervalued at $62.21 (implied upside of +41.6%), our analysis suggests a thinner margin of safety across 6 of 10 bullish models. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +159.3% (fair value: $161.32), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -61.8% ($23.78). The spread between these extremes — +221.1% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About MAN?

10 of 13 models are currently active for MAN. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for MAN is $88.07 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does MAN Rank in Staffing & Employment Services?

Among 17 Staffing & Employment Services stocks, MAN ranks #10 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.4 indicates above-average quality.

ManpowerGroup Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is MAN a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns MAN a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for ManpowerGroup Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, ManpowerGroup Inc. scores 6.4 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +221.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every MAN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across MAN's 10 active models, average confidence is 48%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy ManpowerGroup Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Staffing & Employment Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Staffing & Employment Services stocks with 13-model coverage

NSPInsperity, Inc.QOC 6.7STRRStar Equity Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.3TBITrueBlue, Inc.QOC 6.7GLXGGalaxy Payroll Group LimitedQOC 6.3MHHMastech Digital, Inc.QOC 7.1IPDNProfessional Diversity Network, Inc.QOC 5.9BGSFBGSF, Inc.QOC 5.6BBSIBarrett Business Services, Inc.QOC 8.6TNETTriNet Group, Inc.QOC 7.7KFYKorn FerryQOC 8.6

Read investment analysis: NSP · STRR · TBI · GLXG · MHH · IPDN · BGSF · BBSI · TNET · KFY

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to MAN?

7 companies across all industries closest to MAN’s Quality of Company score of 6.4/10.

ECORelectroCore, Inc.QOC 6.4CVVCVD Equipment CorporationQOC 6.4UUUUEnergy Fuels Inc.QOC 6.4MNOVMediciNova, Inc.QOC 6.4ITPIT Tech Packaging, Inc.QOC 6.4PSNLPersonalis, Inc.QOC 6.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: ECOR · CVV · UUUU · MNOV · ITP · PSNL · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About ManpowerGroup Inc.’s Valuation?

What is ManpowerGroup Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts ManpowerGroup Inc. (MAN)'s intrinsic value at $88.07 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $23.78 to $161.32. The Quality of Company score is 6.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is MAN overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $62.21, 6 of 10 active models suggest MAN may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $88.07, 41.6% above the current price of $62.21 — a consensus view that MAN is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits ManpowerGroup Inc.'s business model in Staffing & Employment Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.4 mean for MAN?

ManpowerGroup Inc.'s QOC of 6.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on MAN?

CirclFi analyzes MAN with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on MAN?

Of the 10 models currently active on MAN, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $161.32 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $23.78. CirclFi's published fair value for MAN is the median of that range, $88.07, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 156% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is MAN a value trap in 2026?

ManpowerGroup Inc.'s Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, ManpowerGroup Inc. (MAN) has a median fair value of $88.07 — 41.6% above the current price of $62.21 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/MAN/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this MAN valuation
  • Financial statements: ManpowerGroup Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000871763) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for MAN as of ; valuations recomputed .

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