CRA International, Inc. (CRAI) Fair Value 2026

CRAI · Consulting Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, CRA International, Inc. (CRAI) trades at $172.50, versus a $110.95 median fair value across its 12 active models — 35.7% below the current price. QOC: 8.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $9.19.

Key Facts

Ticker
CRAI
Price
$172.50
Quality Score
8.6/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +40.0% upside with 62% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is CRA International, Inc. (CRAI) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, CRA International, Inc. (CRAI) appears overvalued as of : the median of 12 independent fair value estimates is $110.95, 35.7% below the current price of $172.50. Estimates range from $9.19 to $286.48. CRAI scores 8.6/10 on fundamental quality and 12/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. CRAI’s -35.7% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy CRA International, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give CRAI?

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($172.50)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $9.19 -94.7%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $55.45 -67.9%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $112.35 -34.9%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $241.47 +40.0%
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What Is CRAI's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 12 independent models · $9.19 to $286.48

CirclFi's 12 active models place CRA International, Inc. (CRAI) between $9.19 and $286.48 per share, a spread of 250% of the median. The median of that range — $110.95 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for CRAI, against a current price of $172.50.

Low · Bayesian DCFHigh · Regime Cross
$9.19median $110.95$286.48
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelBayesian DCF$9.19
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$286.48
Model agreement3 bullish · 9 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for CRAI. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on CRAI, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is CRA International, Inc. (CRAI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, CRA International, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $110.95, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $172.50. With 9 out of 12 models flagging downside (-35.7% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $286.48 (+66.1%), versus Bayesian DCF at $9.19 (-94.7%). This +160.7% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About CRAI?

12 of 13 models are currently active for CRAI. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for CRAI is $110.95 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $9.19 on its own, implying -94.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CRAI Rank in Consulting Services?

Among 29 Consulting Services stocks, CRAI ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.6 places CRAI in the top tier.

CRA International, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is CRAI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CRAI a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for CRA International, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, CRA International, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 8.6/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +160.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CRAI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CRAI's 12 active models, average confidence is 53%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy CRA International, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Consulting Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Consulting Services stocks with 13-model coverage

BAHBooz Allen Hamilton Holding CorporationQOC 8.8VRSKVerisk Analytics, Inc.QOC 8.5DGNXDiginex LimitedQOC 2.4HURNHuron Consulting Group Inc.QOC 8.4EGGEnigmatig LimitedQOC 2.6ICFIICF International, Inc.QOC 8.2EUBGEntrepreneur Universe Bright GroupQOC 7.9RGPResources Connection, Inc.QOC 6.2BLNCBalance Labs, Inc.QOC 4.6

Read investment analysis: BAH · VRSK · DGNX · HURN · EGG · ICFI · EUBG · RGP · BLNC

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to CRAI?

7 companies across all industries closest to CRAI’s Quality of Company score of 8.6/10.

NGVCNatural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.QOC 8.6BBSIBarrett Business Services, Inc.QOC 8.6TCBSTexas Community Bancshares, Inc.QOC 8.6KFYKorn FerryQOC 8.6PAYSPaysign, Inc.QOC 8.6VMCVulcan Materials CompanyQOC 8.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: NGVC · BBSI · TCBS · KFY · PAYS · VMC · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About CRA International, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is CRA International, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts CRA International, Inc. (CRAI)'s intrinsic value at $110.95 — the median of 12 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $9.19 to $286.48. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $9.19 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CRAI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $172.50, 3 of 12 active models suggest CRAI may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 12 fair value estimates is $110.95, 35.7% below the current price of $172.50 — a consensus view that CRAI is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits CRA International, Inc.'s business model in Consulting Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.6 mean for CRAI?

CRA International, Inc.'s QOC of 8.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CRAI?

CirclFi analyzes CRAI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on CRAI?

Of the 12 models currently active on CRAI, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $286.48 per share, and Bayesian DCF is the most bearish at $9.19. CirclFi's published fair value for CRAI is the median of that range, $110.95, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 250% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is CRAI a value trap in 2026?

CRA International, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, CRA International, Inc. (CRAI) has a median fair value of $110.95 — 35.7% below the current price of $172.50 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CRAI/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this CRAI valuation
  • Financial statements: CRA International, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001053706) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for CRAI as of ; valuations recomputed .

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