Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Cor (BAH) Fair Value 2026

BAH · Services-Management Consulting Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

10.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Cor (BAH) trades at $64.78, approximately 69% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $208.44. QOC: 10.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
BAH
Price
$64.78
Quality Score
10.0/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +221.8% upside with 70% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (11/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($64.78)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$208.44 +221.8%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$92.27 +42.4%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$120.07 +85.4%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$149.56 +130.9%

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What Is Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Cor (BAH) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Cor is potentially undervalued at its current price of $64.78. Based on our 13-model framework, Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Cor's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $109.69 — representing +69.3% implied upside — with 9 out of 11 active models confirming this thesis. Model dispersion is worth noting: Bayesian DCF targets $208.44 (+221.8%), versus EROIC at $33.27 (-48.6%). This +270.4% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bullish — adding weight to the bullish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About BAH?

11 of 13 models are currently active for BAH. Of these, 9 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates BAH's intrinsic value at $208.44, implying +221.8% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does BAH Rank in Services-Management Consulting Services?

Among 28 Services-Management Consulting Services stocks, BAH ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 10.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 10.0 places BAH in the top tier.

Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Cor operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is BAH a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns BAH a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Cor. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Cor is rated at 10.0/10. This elite-tier score ranks among the highest-quality businesses in our coverage universe.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +270.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every BAH valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across BAH's 11 active models, average confidence is 51%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Cor Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

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Frequently Asked Questions About Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Cor

What is Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Cor's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Cor (BAH) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $208.44. The Quality of Company score is 10.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is BAH overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $64.78, 9 of 11 active models suggest BAH may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Cor's business model in Services-Management Consulting Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 10.0 mean for BAH?

Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Cor's QOC of 10.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on BAH?

CirclFi analyzes BAH with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is BAH a value trap in 2026?

Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Cor's Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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