Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation (BAH) Fair Value 2026

BAH · Consulting Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation (BAH) trades at $74.88, versus a $126.38 median fair value across its 11 active models — 68.8% above the current price. QOC: 8.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $128.10.

Key Facts

Ticker
BAH
Price
$74.88
Quality Score
8.8/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +71.1% upside with 74% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (11/13) may reduce confidence

Is Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation (BAH) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation (BAH) appears undervalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $126.38, 68.8% above the current price of $74.88. Estimates range from $44.50 to $313.30. BAH scores 8.8/10 on fundamental quality and 18/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. BAH’s +68.8% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give BAH?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($74.88)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $128.10 +71.1%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $107.84 +44.0%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $126.38 +68.8%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $44.50 -40.6%
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What Is BAH's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $44.50 to $313.30

CirclFi's 11 active models place Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation (BAH) between $44.50 and $313.30 per share, a spread of 213% of the median. The median of that range — $126.38 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for BAH, against a current price of $74.88.

Low · EROICHigh · Markov DDM
$44.50median $126.38$313.30
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEROIC Spread$44.50
Most bullish modelMarkov DDM$313.30
Model agreement10 bullish · 1 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for BAH. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on BAH, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation (BAH) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation is potentially undervalued at its current price of $74.88. Based on our 13-model framework, Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $126.38 — representing +68.8% implied upside — with 10 out of 11 active models confirming this thesis. Model dispersion is worth noting: Markov DDM targets $313.30 (+318.4%), versus EROIC at $44.50 (-40.6%). This +359.0% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bullish — adding weight to the bullish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About BAH?

11 of 13 models are currently active for BAH. Of these, 10 models suggest upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for BAH is $126.38 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $128.10 on its own, implying +71.1% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does BAH Rank in Consulting Services?

Among 29 Consulting Services stocks, BAH ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.8 places BAH in the top tier.

Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is BAH a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns BAH a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation is rated at 8.8/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +359.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every BAH valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across BAH's 11 active models, average confidence is 55%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Consulting Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Consulting Services stocks with 13-model coverage

DGNXDiginex LimitedQOC 2.4CRAICRA International, Inc.QOC 8.6EGGEnigmatig LimitedQOC 2.6VRSKVerisk Analytics, Inc.QOC 8.5EFTYEtoiles Capital Group Co., LtdQOC 2.8HURNHuron Consulting Group Inc.QOC 8.4FCNFTI Consulting, Inc.QOC 8.0PPHCPublic Policy Holding Company, Inc.QOC 6.2NORDNordicus Partners CorporationQOC 5.0

Read investment analysis: DGNX · CRAI · EGG · VRSK · EFTY · HURN · FCN · PPHC · NORD

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to BAH?

7 companies across all industries closest to BAH’s Quality of Company score of 8.8/10.

ENSEnerSysQOC 8.8GPORGulfport Energy CorporationQOC 8.8ACICAmerican Coastal Insurance CorporationQOC 8.8LNNLindsay CorporationQOC 8.8BRCBrady CorporationQOC 8.8NRIMNorthrim BanCorp, Inc.QOC 8.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: ENS · GPOR · ACIC · LNN · BRC · NRIM · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation (BAH)'s intrinsic value at $126.38 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $44.50 to $313.30. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $128.10 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is BAH overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $74.88, 10 of 11 active models suggest BAH may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $126.38, 68.8% above the current price of $74.88 — a consensus view that BAH is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation's business model in Consulting Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.8 mean for BAH?

Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation's QOC of 8.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on BAH?

CirclFi analyzes BAH with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on BAH?

Of the 11 models currently active on BAH, Markov DDM is the most bullish at $313.30 per share, and EROIC Spread is the most bearish at $44.50. CirclFi's published fair value for BAH is the median of that range, $126.38, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 213% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is BAH a value trap in 2026?

Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation's Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation (BAH) has a median fair value of $126.38 — 68.8% above the current price of $74.88 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/BAH/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this BAH valuation

Market data for BAH as of ; valuations recomputed .

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