What Is FedEx Corporation (FDX) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, FedEx Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $308.85. Trading at its current price of $313.80, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 10 of 13 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -1.6%. Notably, Markov DDM sees the most upside at +454.8% (fair value: $1,740.87), while EPV is the most conservative at -82.0% ($56.60). The spread between these extremes — +536.7% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About FDX?
13 of 13 models are currently active for FDX. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates FDX's intrinsic value at $101.66, implying -67.6% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does FDX Rank in Air Courier Services?
Among 1 Air Courier Services stocks, FDX ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.4 places FDX in the top tier.
FedEx Corporation operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is FDX a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for FDX. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for FedEx Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, FedEx Corporation scores 9.4 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a elite rating that ranks among the highest-quality businesses in our coverage universe. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +536.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every FDX valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across FDX's 13 active models, average confidence is 47%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
Buy with Gumroad