What Is GXO Logistics, Inc. (GXO) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, GXO Logistics, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $31.87. Trading at $48.97, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -34.9%), as 9 of 13 models suggest limited further upside. Notably, PWERM sees the most upside at +14.9% (fair value: $56.26), while EPV is the most conservative at -89.5% ($5.12). The spread between these extremes — +104.4% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About GXO?
13 of 13 models are currently active for GXO. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates GXO's intrinsic value at $52.72, implying +7.6% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does GXO Rank in Transportation Services?
Among 18 Transportation Services stocks, GXO ranks #8 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.2 places GXO in the top tier.
GXO Logistics, Inc.'s positioning within the Transportation Services segment means that EBIT per unit plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including electric vehicle transition — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is GXO a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for GXO. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for GXO Logistics, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, GXO Logistics, Inc. scores 8.2 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +104.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every GXO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across GXO's 13 active models, average confidence is 43%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
Buy with Gumroad