Pitney Bowes Inc. (PBI) Fair Value 2026

PBI · Integrated Freight & Logistics ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (21/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Pitney Bowes Inc. (PBI) trades at $17.21, versus a $11.78 median fair value across its 8 active models — 31.6% below the current price. QOC: 7.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 21/100 (SAFE). 8/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $8.85.

Key Facts

Ticker
PBI
Price
$17.21
Quality Score
7.5/10
Value Trap Risk
21/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: 8 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Pitney Bowes Inc. (PBI) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Pitney Bowes Inc. (PBI) appears overvalued as of : the median of 8 independent fair value estimates is $11.78, 31.6% below the current price of $17.21. Estimates range from $7.10 to $38.10. PBI scores 7.5/10 on fundamental quality and 21/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. PBI’s -31.6% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Integrated Freight & Logistics sector median is -39.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Pitney Bowes Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give PBI?

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($17.21)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $8.85 -48.6%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $12.17 -29.3%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $14.00 -18.6%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $7.10 -58.7%
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What Is PBI's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 8 independent models · $7.10 to $38.10

CirclFi's 8 active models place Pitney Bowes Inc. (PBI) between $7.10 and $38.10 per share, a spread of 263% of the median. The median of that range — $11.78 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for PBI, against a current price of $17.21.

Low · RCMH-DCFHigh · Regime Cross
$7.10median $11.78$38.10
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelRCMH-DCF$7.10
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$38.10
Model agreement2 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for PBI. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on PBI, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Pitney Bowes Inc. (PBI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Pitney Bowes Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $11.78, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $17.21. With 6 out of 8 models flagging downside (-31.6% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $38.10 (+121.4%), while RCMH-DCF — the most conservative — estimates $7.10 (-58.7%). This +180.1% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Pitney Bowes Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About PBI?

8 of 13 models are currently active for PBI. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for PBI is $11.78 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $8.85 on its own, implying -48.6% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does PBI Rank in Integrated Freight & Logistics?

Among 37 Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, PBI ranks #12 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.5 indicates above-average quality.

Within the Integrated Freight & Logistics space, Pitney Bowes Inc. competes in an environment where average transaction price (ATP) often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is PBI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns PBI a score of 21/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for Pitney Bowes Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Pitney Bowes Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 7.5/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +180.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every PBI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across PBI's 8 active models, average confidence is 44%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Pitney Bowes Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Integrated Freight & Logistics Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks with 13-model coverage

GXOGXO Logistics, Inc.QOC 7.7LSTRLandstar System, Inc.QOC 7.5FLXBingEx LimitedQOC 7.7FDXFFedEx Freight Holding Company, Inc.QOC 7.2CHRWC.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.QOC 7.9CYRXCryoport, Inc.QOC 6.9APSIAqua Power Systems Inc.QOC 5.9SERVServe Robotics Inc.QOC 5.2FDXFedEx CorporationQOC 8.8ZTOZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.QOC 8.8

Read investment analysis: GXO · LSTR · FLX · FDXF · CHRW · CYRX · APSI · SERV · FDX · ZTO

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to PBI?

7 companies across all industries closest to PBI’s Quality of Company score of 7.5/10.

BRKRBruker CorporationQOC 7.5OMFOneMain Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.5MBBCMarathon Bancorp, Inc.QOC 7.5CALYCallaway Golf CompanyQOC 7.5RHRHQOC 7.5DANDana IncorporatedQOC 7.5NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: BRKR · OMF · MBBC · CALY · RH · DAN · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Pitney Bowes Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Pitney Bowes Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Pitney Bowes Inc. (PBI)'s intrinsic value at $11.78 — the median of 8 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $7.10 to $38.10. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $8.85 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is PBI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $17.21, 2 of 8 active models suggest PBI may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 8 fair value estimates is $11.78, 31.6% below the current price of $17.21 — a consensus view that PBI is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Pitney Bowes Inc.'s business model in Integrated Freight & Logistics.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.5 mean for PBI?

Pitney Bowes Inc.'s QOC of 7.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on PBI?

CirclFi analyzes PBI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on PBI?

Of the 8 models currently active on PBI, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $38.10 per share, and RCMH-DCF is the most bearish at $7.10. CirclFi's published fair value for PBI is the median of that range, $11.78, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 263% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is PBI a value trap in 2026?

Pitney Bowes Inc.'s Value Trap score is 21/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Pitney Bowes Inc. (PBI) has a median fair value of $11.78 — 31.6% below the current price of $17.21 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/PBI/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this PBI valuation
  • Financial statements: Pitney Bowes Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000078814) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for PBI as of ; valuations recomputed .

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