What Is Forestar Group Inc (FOR) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Forestar Group Inc at its current price of $30.13. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $25.06 (-16.8% average return), with 7 models flagging overvaluation risk. The most optimistic model, FTNN, places fair value at $42.00 (+39.4%), while Sentiment SOTP — the most conservative — estimates $4.25 (-85.9%). This +125.3% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Forestar Group Inc's intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About FOR?
12 of 13 models are currently active for FOR. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates FOR's intrinsic value at $18.42, implying -38.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does FOR Rank in Real Estate?
Among 32 Real Estate stocks, FOR ranks #10 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.8 indicates above-average quality.
See all Most Undervalued Real Estate Stocks →
As a real estate sector, Forestar Group Inc operates in a sector where net asset value (NAV) premium/discount is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating FOR should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is FOR a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns FOR a score of 30/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Forestar Group Inc. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Forestar Group Inc is rated at 7.8/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +125.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every FOR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across FOR's 12 active models, average confidence is 40%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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