Otis Worldwide Corporation (OTIS) Fair Value 2026

OTIS · Specialty Industrial Machinery ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Otis Worldwide Corporation (OTIS) trades at $71.48, versus a $57.99 median fair value across its 10 active models — 18.9% below the current price. QOC: 8.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $40.86.

Key Facts

Ticker
OTIS
Price
$71.48
Quality Score
8.4/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.4/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Otis Worldwide Corporation (OTIS) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Otis Worldwide Corporation (OTIS) appears overvalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $57.99, 18.9% below the current price of $71.48. Estimates range from $14.02 to $166.90. OTIS scores 8.4/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. OTIS’s -18.9% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Specialty Industrial Machinery sector median is -47.2%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Otis Worldwide Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give OTIS?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($71.48)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $40.86 -42.8%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $36.33 -49.2%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $60.66 -15.1%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $14.02 -80.4%
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What Is OTIS's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $14.02 to $166.90

CirclFi's 10 active models place Otis Worldwide Corporation (OTIS) between $14.02 and $166.90 per share, a spread of 264% of the median. The median of that range — $57.99 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for OTIS, against a current price of $71.48.

Low · EROICHigh · Regime Cross
$14.02median $57.99$166.90
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEROIC Spread$14.02
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$166.90
Model agreement4 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for OTIS. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on OTIS, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Otis Worldwide Corporation (OTIS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Otis Worldwide Corporation at its current price of $71.48. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $57.99 (-18.9% vs price), with 6 models flagging overvaluation risk. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +133.5% (fair value: $166.90), while EROIC is the most conservative at -80.4% ($14.02). The spread between these extremes — +213.9% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About OTIS?

10 of 13 models are currently active for OTIS. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for OTIS is $57.99 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $40.86 on its own, implying -42.8% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does OTIS Rank in Specialty Industrial Machinery?

Among 84 Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, OTIS ranks #30 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.4 places OTIS in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Specialty Industrial Machinery Stocks →

As a manufacturing company, Otis Worldwide Corporation operates in a sector where margin expansion trajectory is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating OTIS should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is OTIS a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns OTIS a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Otis Worldwide Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Otis Worldwide Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 8.4/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +213.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every OTIS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across OTIS's 10 active models, average confidence is 53%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Otis Worldwide Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Specialty Industrial Machinery Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks with 13-model coverage

EMREmerson Electric Co.QOC 8.4RRXRegal Rexnord CorporationQOC 8.4IEXIDEX CorporationQOC 8.5CRCrane CompanyQOC 8.3FELEFranklin Electric Co., Inc.QOC 8.5PSIXPower Solutions International, Inc.QOC 8.2HURCHurco Companies, Inc.QOC 6.8QINDQuality Industrial Corp.QOC 4.3AOSA. O. Smith CorporationQOC 9.0EPACEnerpac Tool Group Corp.QOC 9.4WTSWatts Water Technologies, Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: EMR · RRX · IEX · CR · FELE · PSIX · HURC · QIND · AOS · EPAC · WTS

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to OTIS?

7 companies across all industries closest to OTIS’s Quality of Company score of 8.4/10.

CCLDCareCloud, Inc.QOC 8.4HWBKHawthorn Bancshares, Inc.QOC 8.4HOURHour Loop, Inc.QOC 8.4MLMMartin Marietta Materials, Inc.QOC 8.4PHRPhreesia, Inc.QOC 8.4FSUNFirstSun Capital BancorpQOC 8.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CCLD · HWBK · HOUR · MLM · PHR · FSUN · NVDA

Where Does OTIS Sit in CirclFi's Specialty Industrial Machinery Rankings?

OTIS is ranked against every other Specialty Industrial Machinery stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Otis Worldwide Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Otis Worldwide Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Otis Worldwide Corporation (OTIS)'s intrinsic value at $57.99 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $14.02 to $166.90. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $40.86 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is OTIS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $71.48, 4 of 10 active models suggest OTIS may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $57.99, 18.9% below the current price of $71.48 — a consensus view that OTIS is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Otis Worldwide Corporation's business model in Specialty Industrial Machinery.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.4 mean for OTIS?

Otis Worldwide Corporation's QOC of 8.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on OTIS?

CirclFi analyzes OTIS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on OTIS?

Of the 10 models currently active on OTIS, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $166.90 per share, and EROIC Spread is the most bearish at $14.02. CirclFi's published fair value for OTIS is the median of that range, $57.99, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 264% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is OTIS a value trap in 2026?

Otis Worldwide Corporation's Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Otis Worldwide Corporation (OTIS) has a median fair value of $57.99 — 18.9% below the current price of $71.48 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/OTIS/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this OTIS valuation
  • Financial statements: Otis Worldwide Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001781335) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for OTIS as of ; valuations recomputed .

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