Watts Water Technologies, Inc. (WTS) Fair Value 2026

WTS · Miscellaneous Fabricated Metal Products ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

10.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Watts Water Technologies, Inc. (WTS) trades at $347.13, approximately 117% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $159.79. QOC: 10.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
WTS
Price
$347.13
Quality Score
10.0/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 10.0/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($347.13)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$159.79 -54.0%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$75.28 -78.3%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$174.32 -49.8%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$344.48 -0.8%

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What Is Watts Water Technologies, Inc. (WTS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Watts Water Technologies, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $190.96. Trading at its current price of $347.13, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 10 of 13 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -45.0%. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $349.71 (+0.7%), versus Dynamic NAV at $44.55 (-87.2%). This +87.9% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About WTS?

13 of 13 models are currently active for WTS. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 12 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates WTS's intrinsic value at $159.79, implying -54.0% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does WTS Rank in Miscellaneous Fabricated Metal Products?

Among 8 Miscellaneous Fabricated Metal Products stocks, WTS ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 10.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 10.0 places WTS in the top tier.

Watts Water Technologies, Inc.'s positioning within the Miscellaneous Fabricated Metal Products segment means that capacity utilization rate plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including reshoring and supply chain localization — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is WTS a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns WTS a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for Watts Water Technologies, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Watts Water Technologies, Inc. scores 10.0 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a elite rating that ranks among the highest-quality businesses in our coverage universe. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +87.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every WTS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across WTS's 13 active models, average confidence is 51%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Watts Water Technologies, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Miscellaneous Fabricated Metal Products Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

7 related Miscellaneous Fabricated Metal Products stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: PH · CR · HLIO · CXT · MWA

Frequently Asked Questions About Watts Water Technologies, Inc.

What is Watts Water Technologies, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Watts Water Technologies, Inc. (WTS) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $159.79. The Quality of Company score is 10.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is WTS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $347.13, 1 of 13 active models suggest WTS may be undervalued, while 12 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Watts Water Technologies, Inc.'s business model in Miscellaneous Fabricated Metal Products.

What does a Quality of Company score of 10.0 mean for WTS?

Watts Water Technologies, Inc.'s QOC of 10.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on WTS?

CirclFi analyzes WTS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is WTS a value trap in 2026?

Watts Water Technologies, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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