Interparfums, Inc. (IPAR) Fair Value 2026

IPAR · Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

10.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

— (—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Interparfums, Inc. (IPAR) trades at $118.47, approximately 281% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $31.12. QOC: 10.0/10. 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
IPAR
Price
$118.47
Quality Score
10.0/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +33.2% upside with 54% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($118.47)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
 $31.12 -73.7%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
 $26.03 -78.0%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $69.72 -41.2%
First Chicago
High Conviction
 $157.86 +33.2%

Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 9 additional models including EROIC Spread, Markov DDM, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 13 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is Interparfums, Inc. (IPAR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Interparfums, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $94.36. Trading at its current price of $118.47, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 10 of 13 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -20.3%. The most optimistic model, Markov DDM, places fair value at $394.22 (+232.8%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $19.92 (-83.2%). This +315.9% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Interparfums, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About IPAR?

13 of 13 models are currently active for IPAR. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates IPAR's intrinsic value at $31.12, implying -73.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does IPAR Rank in Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations?

Among 20 Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations stocks, IPAR ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 10.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 10.0 places IPAR in the top tier.

Interparfums, Inc.'s positioning within the Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations segment means that capital efficiency ratio plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including basin-level economics — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is IPAR a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for IPAR. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for Interparfums, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Interparfums, Inc. earns a quality score of 10.0/10. This exceptional rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +315.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every IPAR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across IPAR's 13 active models, average confidence is 45%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Interparfums, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations stocks with 13-model coverage

ODDODDITY Tech Ltd.QOC 10.0CLColgate-Palmolive CompanyQOC 9.2HLNHaleon plcQOC 9.0ELFe.l.f. Beauty, Inc.QOC 8.7UGUnited-Guardian, Inc.QOC 8.6AXILAXIL Brands, Inc.QOC 8.6SLSNSolesence, Inc.QOC 8.0OLPXOlaplex Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.7

Read investment analysis: ODD · CL · HLN · ELF · UG

Frequently Asked Questions About Interparfums, Inc.

What is Interparfums, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Interparfums, Inc. (IPAR) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $31.12. The Quality of Company score is 10.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is IPAR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $118.47, 2 of 13 active models suggest IPAR may be undervalued, while 11 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Interparfums, Inc.'s business model in Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations.

What does a Quality of Company score of 10.0 mean for IPAR?

Interparfums, Inc.'s QOC of 10.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on IPAR?

CirclFi analyzes IPAR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is IPAR a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for IPAR at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 13 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on IPAR.

Unlock All 13 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access