What Is Haleon plc (HLN) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Haleon plc's intrinsic value is estimated at $9.23, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $9.87. With an average implied return of -6.4% across a split 5–6 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +157.3% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, First Chicago sees the most upside at +59.5% (fair value: $15.73), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -97.8% ($0.22). The spread between these extremes — +157.3% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About HLN?
13 of 13 models are currently active for HLN. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates HLN's intrinsic value at $12.63, implying +28.0% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does HLN Rank in Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations?
Among 20 Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations stocks, HLN ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.0 places HLN in the top tier.
Haleon plc's positioning within the Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations segment means that debt-to-EBITDAX plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including capital discipline — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is HLN a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns HLN a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Haleon plc. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Haleon plc scores 9.0 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a elite rating that ranks among the highest-quality businesses in our coverage universe. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +157.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every HLN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across HLN's 13 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →